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118  Principles of Applied  Reservoir Simulation


        influx  for a system with an irreducible gas saturation (Sgr) of 0%. The change
        in gas saturation  shows the influx of aquifer water. The change in fluid content
        changes  fluid  bulk  modulus.  As  a  consequence,  the  ratio  V pIV s  changes
        significantly  in the waterflooded part of the reservoir.
              If we rerun the example with an irreducible gas saturation of three percent,
        we obtain the results  shown in Figure  12-8. The  large change in  V pIV s  is no




                                 Aquifer Influx at  1 Year
                                     Sgr = 3%













                                                       10
                                 WINB4D Block Index


             Figure  12-8. Reservoir performance with Sgr = 3%.
        longer  observed because  the presence of a small amount  of gas significantly
        changed  the compressibility  of the system.
             Time-lapse  seismic tomography,  or 4-D seismic,  could be used  in our
        hypothetical example to track the movement of invading aquifer water, but the
        presence of a small amount of gas in the invaded zone increases  the  difficulty
        of detecting  the gas-water contact.  Calculations  of 4-D seismic  performance
        based on algorithms like the one coded  in WINB4D can predict  4-D seismic
        responses  [Fanchi,  1999],  but such algorithms are not yet widely available in
        commercial  simulators.
             Although it is risky to predict technological developments, it is possible
        to  infer  trends  by  extrapolating  ongoing  research  activities  in the  industry.
        Thakur [1996], for example, wrote that data management  and the integration
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