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Part III:  Case Study  223


        to model the reservoir  shown in Figure 21-2. Each gridblock is a square with
        lengths A* =  A>> = 200 ft. The dark areas of the grid are outside  the  reservoir
        area. The pore volume in the dark area is made inactive in data file CS-HM.DAT
        by using porosity multipliers.
             The depth and thickness of each gridblock depend on reservoir architec-
        ture. The model grid should approximate the structure depicted in Figure 21 -4,
        which is based on Figures 20-1 and 20-2. The dip of the reservoir is included
        by specifying the tops of each gridblock. The gridblock length modifications
        are designed to cut off those parts of the block that continue the grid beyond the
        surface  of the unconformity sketched in Figure 21-4.
             Transmissibility multipliers in the vertical direction are set to 0 to simulate
        impermeable shale barriers. This includes the shale streak that divides the second
        major  sand  into two  thinner  sands with a shale break.  The  interpretation  of
        seismic data was unable to resolve this feature, but the well log shown in Figure
        22-2 does indicate the presence of a shale  streak.
















                    Figure 22-2. Overlay of seismic and well log
                    data.
             The water-oil contact is at 9600 ft. A steady-state aquifer is in communica-
        tion with all three oil layers at this depth. It is the source of water  production
        shown in Table 20-2.


                                  22.3 Predictions


             Now that we have a history match model, we are ready to make predic-
        tions. The first step is to establish a base case prediction which assumes there
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