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Chapter 22



                   History Matching and Predictions


             The history match is now well under way. The models discussed in the
        exercises of Chapter 21 are conceptual models designed to provide you with a
        sense of how fluids move in the reservoir. This is the art of modeling. As you
        work  with various  models  of  the  reservoir,  you  should  begin  to  develop  a
        knowledge  base for determining how changes to model  parameters  will help
        achieve a match for a particular observable. This knowledge base is valuable
        as you develop your feel  for the study.
             The previous chapters set the stage for preparing a 3D model of the case
        study reservoir. A 3D model should provide enough reservoir definition to let
        us make meaningful performance predictions. Before matching the 3D model,
        we discuss how to incorporate well information into the model. Once the well
        model  has been prepared,  we proceed to history matching and performance
        predictions.


                            22.1 Well Model Preparation

             Well  model  calculations  require  estimates  of  productivity  index  and
        flowing bottomhole pressure. These calculations are illustrated here.


        Productivity Index Estimate
             Well model calculations in WINB4D need to have the  quasi-stationary
        productivity index factor (PID) specified by the user. PID is estimated from the
        expression (Chapter 30)

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