Page 56 - Probability Demystified
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CHAPTER 3 The Addition Rules                                                45


                                                                             Addition Rule I


                     The probability of two or more events occurring can be determined by using
                     the addition rules. The first rule is used when the events are mutually
                     exclusive.

                     Addition Rule I: When two events are mutually exclusive,
                          PðA or BÞ¼ PðAÞþ PðBÞ

                     EXAMPLE: When a die is rolled, find the probability of getting a 2 or a 3.


                     SOLUTION:
                     As shown in Chapter 1, the problem can be solved by looking at the sample
                     space, which is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Since there are 2 favorable outcomes from
                                              2
                                                  1
                     6 outcomes, P(2 or 3) ¼ ¼ . Since the events are mutually exclusive,
                                              6   3
                     addition rule 1 also can be used:
                                                   1  1   2   1
                          Pð2or3Þ¼ Pð2Þþ Pð3Þ¼ þ ¼          ¼
                                                   6  6   6   3

                     EXAMPLE: In a committee meeting, there were 5 freshmen, 6 sophomores,
                     3 juniors, and 2 seniors. If a student is selected at random to be the
                     chairperson, find the probability that the chairperson is a sophomore or a
                     junior.

                     SOLUTION:

                     There are 6 sophomores and 3 juniors and a total of 16 students.
                                                                                6   3    9
                          P(sophomore or junior) ¼ PðsophomoreÞþ Pð juniorÞ¼      þ    ¼
                                                                               16   16   16

                     EXAMPLE: A card is selected at random from a deck. Find the probability
                     that the card is an ace or a king.


                     SOLUTION:
                                                             4    4    8    2
                          P(ace or king) ¼ PðaceÞþ PðkingÞ¼    þ    ¼    ¼
                                                             52  52   52    13
                        The word or is the key word, and it means one event occurs or the other
                     event occurs.
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