Page 59 - Probability Demystified
P. 59

48                                   CHAPTER 3 The Addition Rules

                                 EXAMPLE: A card is selected at random from a deck of 52 cards. Find the
                                 probability that it is a 6 or a diamond.

                                 SOLUTION:

                                 Let A ¼ the event of getting a 6; then PðAÞ¼  4  since there are four 6s.
                                                                               52
                                 Let B ¼ the event of getting a diamond; then PðBÞ¼    13  since there are
                                                                                       52
                                 13 diamonds. Since there is one card that is both a 6 and a diamond (i.e., the
                                                               1
                                 6 of diamonds), PðA and BÞ¼ . Hence,
                                                              52
                                                                              4    13   1    16   4
                                     PðA or BÞ¼ PðAÞþ PðBÞ  PðA and BÞ¼         þ         ¼    ¼
                                                                              52   52  52    52   13


                                 EXAMPLE: A die is rolled. Find the probability of getting an even number
                                 or a number less than 4.


                                 SOLUTION:
                                                                     3
                                 Let A ¼ an even number; then PðAÞ¼ since there are 3 even numbers—2, 4,
                                                                     6
                                                                                3
                                 and 6. Let B ¼ a number less than 4; then PðBÞ¼ since there are 3 numbers
                                                                                6
                                 less than 4—1, 2, and 3. Let (A and B) ¼ even numbers less than 4 and
                                               1
                                 PðA and BÞ¼ since there is one even number less than 4—namely 2. Hence,
                                               6
                                                                              3  3   1   5
                                     PðA or BÞ¼ PðAÞþ PðBÞ  PðA and BÞ¼ þ   ¼
                                                                              6  6   6   6
                                   The results of both these examples can be verified by using sample spaces
                                 and classical probability.

                                 EXAMPLE: Two dice are rolled; find the probability of getting doubles or a
                                 sum of 8.

                                 SOLUTION:

                                 Let A ¼ getting doubles; then PðAÞ¼  6  since there are 6 ways to get doubles
                                                                    36
                                 and let B ¼ getting a sum of 8. Then PðBÞ¼  5  since there are 5 ways to get a
                                                                           36
                                 sum of 8—(6, 2), (5, 3), (4, 4), (3, 5), and (2, 6). Let (A and B) ¼ the number of
                                 ways to get a double and a sum of 8. There is only one way for this event to
                                                                  1
                                 occur—(4, 4); then PðA and BÞ¼ . Hence,
                                                                 36
                                                                              6    5    1    10   5
                                     PðA or BÞ¼ PðAÞþ PðBÞ  PðA and BÞ¼         þ         ¼    ¼
                                                                              36   36  36    36   18
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