Page 79 - Probability Demystified
P. 79

68                            CHAPTER 4 The Multiplication Rules


                                 ANSWERS

                                     1. There are five ways to get a sum of 8. They are (6, 2), (2, 6), (3, 5), (5, 3),
                                        and (4, 4). There are two ways to get a sum of 8 when one die is a 6.
                                        Hence,
                                                                       P(one die is a six and sum of 8)
                                          P(one die is a sixjsum of 8) ¼
                                                                                 P(sum of 8)
                                                                          2
                                                                          36
                                                                     ¼
                                                                          5
                                                                          36

                                                                        2    5    2    36 1
                                                                     ¼         ¼
                                                                       36   36   36 1   5

                                                                       2
                                                                     ¼
                                                                       5
                                          The problem can also be solved by looking at the reduced sample
                                        space. There are two possible ways one die is a 6 and the sum of the
                                        dice is 8. There are five ways to get a sum of 8. Hence, the probability
                                          2
                                        is .
                                          5
                                     2. There are 3 ways to get one tail: HT, TH, and TT. There is one way to
                                        get two tails; hence, the probability of getting two tails given that one
                                                              1
                                        of the coins is a tail is . The problem can also be solved using the
                                                              3
                                        formula for conditional probability:
                                                                                   1
                                                                                   4
                                          P(two tailsjgiven one coin was a tail) ¼
                                                                                   3
                                                                                   4


                                                                                1   3
                                                                              ¼
                                                                                4   4

                                                                                 1   4 1
                                                                              ¼
                                                                                 4 1  3

                                                                                1
                                                                              ¼
                                                                                3
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