Page 93 - Probability Demystified
P. 93

82                               CHAPTER 5 Odds and Expectation

                                 EXAMPLE: If the odds that an event will occur are 5 : 7, find the probability
                                 that the event will occur.

                                 SOLUTION:

                                                                               A
                                                                                      5
                                                                                           5
                                 In this case, A ¼ 5 and B ¼ 7; hence, PðE Þ¼  AþB  ¼  5 þ 7  ¼  12 : Hence, the
                                 probability the event will occur is  5  :
                                                                 12
                                 EXAMPLE: If the odds in favor of an event are 2 : 9, find the probability that
                                 the event will not occur.

                                 SOLUTION:
                                 In this case, A ¼ 2 and B ¼ 9; hence, the probability that the event will not
                                 occur is
                                               B       9      9
                                      PðEÞ¼        ¼       ¼    :
                                             B þ A    9 þ 2  11


                                 PRACTICE


                                     1. Find the probability that an event E will occur if the odds are 5:2 in
                                        favor of E.
                                     2. Find the probability that an event E will not occur if the odds against
                                        the event E are 4 : 1.
                                     3. Find the probability that an event E will occur if the odds in favor of
                                        the event are 2 : 3.
                                     4. When two dice are rolled, the odds in favor of getting a sum of 8 are
                                        5 : 31; find the probability of getting a sum of 8.
                                     5. When a single card is drawn from a deck of 52 cards, the odds against
                                        getting a face card are 10 : 3, find the probability of selecting a face
                                        card.


                                 ANSWERS
                                                                          5     5
                                     1. Let A ¼ 5 and B ¼ 2; then PðE Þ¼      ¼ :
                                                                         5 þ 2  7
                                                                          4     4
                                     2. Let B ¼ 4 and A ¼ 1; then PðEÞ¼       ¼ :
                                                                        4 þ 1   5
                                                                          2     2
                                     3. Let A ¼ 2 and B ¼ 3; then PðE Þ¼      ¼ :
                                                                         2 þ 3  5
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