Page 571 - Probability and Statistical Inference
P. 571

548    12. Large-Sample Inference

                                 the average? In Section #i, suppose that the unknown population average
                                 exam grade is µ , i = 1, 2. We wish to test H  : µ  = µ  versus H  : µ  < µ  at
                                                                                       1
                                                                                           1
                                                                                               2
                                                                              2
                                               i
                                                                       0
                                                                          1
                                 an approximate 1% level.
                                                 Instructor #1          Instructor #2
                                                   n  = 55                n  = 40
                                                     1                     2
                                                       = 72.4                 = 74.4
                                                  s  = 5.29              s  = 3.55
                                                   1n1                    2n2
                                 Now, we have






                                 We find that z  = 2.33 and hence in view of (12.3.14), we fail to reject H  at
                                             .01
                                                                                               0
                                 an approximate 1% level since w calc  > -z . In other words, the students’
                                                                     .01
                                 average mid-term exam performances in the two sections appear to be the
                                 same at the approximately 1% level. !
                                    Remark 12.3.1 In general, suppose that one has a consistent estimator
                                      for θ such that                    as n → ∞, with some continu-
                                 ous function b(θ) > 0, and for all θ ∈ Θ. Then, using Slutsky’s Theorem, we
                                 can claim that                  is an approximate 1 − α confidence in-
                                 terval for θ if n is large. Look at the following example.
                                    Example 12.3.4 In (12.3.3) we have given an approximate 1 − α confi-
                                 dence interval for µ if n is large when the population distribution is unspeci-
                                 fied. Now, suppose that we wish to construct an approximate 1 − α confi-
                                 dence interval for µ . Using Mann-Wald Theorem from Chapter 5, we claim
                                                  2
                                 that                         as n → ∞. Refer to Example 5.3.7. Thus,
                                 an  approximate 1  −  α confidence interval for  µ  can be constructed
                                                                               2
                                                        when n is large. !

                                 12.3.2 The Binomial Proportion
                                 Suppose that X , ..., X  are iid Bernoulli(p) random variables where 0 < p < 1
                                              1
                                                   n
                                 is the unknown parameter. The minimal sufficient estimator of p is the sample
                                      mean which is same as the sample proportion     of the number of 1’s,
                                 that is the proportion of successes in n independent replications. We can
                                 immediately apply the CLT and write:
   566   567   568   569   570   571   572   573   574   575   576