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methodological issues in the measurement of potential             167
                        in the future. There are various other methodological aspects to be taken into account
                        which will be dealt with below.


                        IDENTIFICATION OF FUTURE JOB FUNCTIONS AND REQUIRED QUALIFICATIONS

                        Two major problems have to be considered with regard to the measurement of potential,
                        i.e., the identification of future job functions and the qualification an individual needs to
                        fill these functions adequately. First, even if the needs analysis was performed accurately,
                        there is no guarantee that future tasks and the qualifications associated with them will
                        not change within the supposedly covered period (Lattmann, 1994). The actual job
                        requirements of executives have changed dramatically during the past few years, and
                        these changes are caused primarily by the rapid implementation of new information
                        technology applications in all functions of the company and the increased use of new
                        workteamdesigns(Campbell,1999).Forexample,especiallyinthefieldoftechnological
                        development, progress is moving so rapidly that the job functions that are identified might
                        become obsolete soon after the needs analysis is completed.
                          As far as the required qualifications are concerned, this development suggests that the
                        diagnosis of individuals’ trainability (Robertson & Downs, 1989; Wexley, 1984), their
                        motivation to learn, and their potential to develop and adapt are as crucial as the
                        test of present capabilities (Obermann, 1996). It should be mentioned that certain per-
                        sonality characteristics that were important during the last few decades are no longer
                        relevant in the selection and development of employees. While during the 1960s to 1980s
                        organizations were searching for members who were loyal to the company and showed
                        a high level of corporate identity, the opposite is now more accurate. Few if any organi-
                        zations aim at life-time employment for their members. Rather, they seek “flexecutives”
                        (Mahnkopf, 1999) who only identify with the next task they are asked to perform but
                        not with the company as a whole. This change poses the great challenge for the field
                        of human resources management to develop diagnostic instruments that allow for the
                        measurement or prediction of the degree to which individuals are able to adapt their
                        personality to the changing image of the ideal staff the management will seek, or will be
                        coerced by market laws to look for. Campbell (1999) goes even further in that he not only
                        attaches much importance to how well an employee adapts to new requirements but also
                        to how well employees self-manage their continual learning. He suggests (p. 419) that
                             “... assessment can focus on how well individuals assess their own training needs,
                             how well they design or select training experiences to meet their own needs, how
                             well they execute their own training experiences, and how well they evaluate whether
                             they meet their own training objectives.”
                          A second major problem in the identification of the required qualifications (Arvey,
                        Salas, & Giallucca, 1992) is that the job functions can possibly be effectively performed
                        with different kinds of qualifications. That means that, for all relevant job functions, the
                        different combinations of skills and abilities that might enable an incumbent to perform
                        effectively must be taken into account. With regard to practicability, however, it can
                        be assumed that only certain combinations will be considered. This restriction could
                        result in disadvantages for employees that do not fit one of the considered profiles. Put
                        simply, needs analysis procedures could have provided the profile of a successful area
                        sales manager being highly flexible, having excellent oral communication skills and
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