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potential analysis in the context of hrm functions                163
                        human resources planning refers to three tasks, namely, recruitment (with the phases
                        personnel marketing, selection, hiring, and initial placement), personnel development
                        (with the phases selection for new tasks, preservation of individual performance, and im-
                        provement of individual performance) and controlling of the performance of employees
                        and the effects of personnel development (see also Miner, 1992). The inter-individual
                        satisfactory conditions have to be considered for any phase of the planning process.
                          Except for the creation of motivating conditions there are different means to secure an
                        appropriate level of performance and to fill the regularly evolving vacancies. One way
                        is the recruitment from the labor market of individuals who already have the required
                        qualifications. Another way is to match the incentives and rewards offered by the orga-
                        nization to the individual’s needs and motives that are linked to the desired performance
                        level. Third, appropriate placement decisions have to be taken that do not ask too much
                        or too little of the job incumbent who, in that case, might leave the job. These placement
                        decisions have to consider that executives themselves regularly strive for new tasks and
                        challenges—a fact which may result in regular vacancies. Fourth, present employees can
                        be trained to acquire the anticipated skills and knowledge. Regardless of the combination
                        of measures that are taken to secure an appropriate performance level, but apart from
                        performance appraisal systems, all measures require some kind of prediction of future
                        performance, which can be performed as potential analysis.
                          A potential analysis which involves the identification of an individual’s strengths and
                        weaknesses with regard to previously stated job requirements should be, and widely is,
                        applied in the planning process, especially in both selection phases. As explained ear-
                        lier in this chapter, potential analysis should include an assessment of the individual’s
                        personality-caused motivation. However, the HRM does not intend to change an indi-
                        vidual’s personality (Neuberger, 1980a) just as, for example, it does not try to increase
                        the intelligence of the individual by systematic measures. Nor does it have the task of
                        creating a will in the individual to strive for higher positions.
                          Potential analyses are usually carried out for current employees. It should be men-
                        tioned, however, that an extensive potential analysis is not performed for the complete
                        staff but is usually restricted to employees that are known to be high performers and are
                        expected to hold executive positions in the future. Typically, employees are appointed
                        for participation in the potential analysis on the basis of excellent former performance
                        appraisals or nomination by their current supervisor (e.g., Shore, Tetrick, & Shore, 1998).
                        This practice clearly shows the fact that for the HRM the distinction between potential
                        (i.e., capability) and motivation to perform on a high level is peripheral. That is the
                        prevailing idea of potential analyses by means of dynamic assessment centers. As will
                        be described later, HRM does not strive to measure the actual weights of potential and
                        motivation but rather to collect the combined data (i.e., actual performance) in order to
                        predict future performance.
                          As was mentioned in connection with the definitions of potential analysis, the position
                        to conduct potential analyses only for current members of the organization falls short of
                        economically reasonable thinking. Rather, a potential analysis for job candidates could
                        be just as profitable, as will be shown in this section.
                          Job analysis methods provide the profile of abilities, skills, and knowledge that are
                        required from the job incumbent in order to perform effectively. However, it is not always
                        possible in the recruitment process to identify, with desirable reliability, a person who
                        already possesses all the necessary qualifications. Then, the selection process aims at
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