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5.4  Probabilistic sampling  109




                  not answer their phones as often; there are now several phones per individual; many
                  people no longer have a landline phone; and government efforts in some countries
                  have made it so that many individuals are placed on a “do not call” list because they
                  do not want to receive many types of phone calls (Couper, 2005). When phone sur-
                  veys are used now, there are often biases in the response.
                     For research into HCI, the population of interest is generally a bit more focused
                  than just the general public, or a very broad set of criteria (e.g., registered voters).
                  Often, there is a much more focused set of inclusion criteria. For example, if the
                  inclusion criteria relate to being in a specific profession, websites, membership lists,
                  and social networking for that profession, are great places to start. For instance,
                  if the survey research targets researchers or practitioners in HCI, commonly used
                  lists for HCI research are membership directories and social networking groups for
                  professional organizations (such as SIGCHI, UXPA, and/or HFES). If inclusion
                  criteria for a survey study relates to having a specific disability, membership direc-
                  tories of organizations for people with a specific impairment (such as organizations
                  for people with spinal cord injuries) might be appropriate. If the survey relates to
                  usage of a certain software application, lists of registered software users from a
                  company might be appropriate. All of these types of lists may provide information
                  on postal mailing addresses, phone numbers, or e-mail addresses. There may also be
                  monthly or annual gatherings at which  surveys, or information about surveys, can
                  be distributed (Lazar, 2006). It is also possible that a website, online community,
                  or social networking group might provide contact information for a group of poten-
                  tial respondents. Social networking applications can help recruit participants with a
                  shared interest, for participation in a survey study (e.g., recruitment information can
                  be posted on an interest group on Facebook or shared via someone on Twitter who
                  has a lot of followers with a common interest). However, these methods alone may
                  not work well for a lot of HCI research.
                     If the population for a survey is not easily well-defined, then the goal may be
                  either to get a response that is diverse and represents multiple subgroups within the
                  respondents or to get a survey response that matches what is known about the popula-
                  tion (see Section 5.5).



                  5.4  PROBABILISTIC SAMPLING
                  The classic use of a survey in sociology is to make estimates for populations. The
                  most accurate way to do this is by running a census, in which you attempt to get a
                  survey response from every member of a population. Because a census is often very
                  expensive and complex, they are not carried out very frequently. When a census is
                  done, it tends to be sponsored by a large organization or governmental entity (see the
                  US Census sidebar). If a population of interest is known and very small (say, up to
                  a few thousand individuals), you might try to organize a modified census, in which
                  everyone is invited to participate in the survey. However, it is not expected that every-
                  one will take you up on the invitation and participate (Sue and Ritter, 2007).
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