Page 111 - Smart Thinking: Skills for Critical Understanding and Writing, 2nd Ed
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98   SMART THINKING: SKILLS FOR CRITICAL UNDERSTANDING & WRITING

       example, I had 'unluckily' chosen a sample of 1000 Australians who were unusually
       pro-republic, then it is unlikely that my broad conclusions would be correct. So,
       good reasoning from specific cases requires some consideration of the degree to
       which the cases selected represent the general category as a whole.
         This question of 'representativeness' is precisely why reasoning from specific
       cases needs to proceed on a sound base of'specifics'. If I were to argue, on the basis
       of one bad meal of Italian food, that ^//Italian food was bad, I would be relying on
       far too small a sample for my argument to be effective. Equally, we should not trust
       surveys that rely on large numbers of responses from an unrepresentative group. For
       example, television stations have taken to conducting 'polls' in which people ring
       in to answer 'yes' or 'no' to a particular question (for example, 'Should the death
       penalty be reintroduced?'). The answer is then represented as a good generalisation
       of all Australians' attitudes when, in fact, it is only a generalisation of the views of
       those viewers of that particular television station who were able and willing to ring
       in.

       Reasoning from analogy

       An analogy is a special form of reasoning, which has some similarities with
       reasoning from specific cases. Reasoning by analogy involves drawing an equally
       specific conclusion from specific premises via a comparison of like aspects. Good
       analogies avoid comparisons between items that have too many dissimilarities. For
       example:
          Imagine a friend gave you a guinea pig to look after but forgot to tell you
         anything about what to feed it. You might say to yourself, 'I have a guinea
          pig and do not know what to feed it; but I do know that my rabbit eats
         carrots, and that rabbits and guinea pigs are similar. Hence, I can prob-
         ably feed my guinea pig carrots as well'.
         Such arguments take the following general form:

         An analogy between X and Y (in the premises) supports a conclusion about
         Y by showing that the conclusion is true of X; and X and Y are similar in
         sufficient relevant respects and are not relevantly dissimilar.
         You need to be careful to make sure that you are comparing things that are
       similar in a relevant way. Take the following example of reasoning:

         Shaving cream is clearly similar in colour, texture, moistness, and body to
         whipped cream, and I know that whipped cream is delicious on fruit salad.
          Hence, shaving cream is delicious on fruit salad.
          Do you see what is wrong? The two types of cream are similar, but they are
       definitely not similar in respect of the one main characteristic involved in fruit salad
       eating: how they taste. This question of relevance has been explored in more detail
       in chapter 6.
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