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Building Empirically Plausible MAS                               115

                              particular theory constructs in mind, rendering them unsuitable for reuse. To
                              take an example, what is the role of “conversation” in social networks? Simu-
                              lation usually represents information transmission through networks as broad-
                              casting of particulate information. In practice, little information transmission
                              is unilateral or particulate. What impact does the fact that people converse
                              have on their mental states? We know about the content of debates (discourse
                              analysis) and the dynamics of attitudes (social psychology) but almost nothing
                              about the interaction between the two.
                                Data Collection as a Design Principle: Proliferation of MAS architectures
                              suggeststhatweneedtoreduce the searchspace forsocial simulation. Inapplied
                              problems, this is done by pragmatic considerations: cost, speed and “elegance”.
                              For descriptive simulations, the ability to collect data may serve a corresponding
                              role. It is always worth asking why MAS need unobtainable data. The reasons
                              may be pragmatic but if they are not, perhaps the architecture should be made
                              less dependent on theoretical constructs so it can use data already collected for
                              another purpose.
                                Constructive Ignorance: The non-theoretical approach also suggests im-
                              portant research questions obscured by debates over theoretical constructs. For
                              example, do people transmit evaluations of things they don’t care about? What
                              is the impact of genuine dialogue on information transmission? When does
                              physical distance make a difference to social network structure? Answers to
                              these questions would be useful not just for innovation diffusion but in debates
                              about socialisation, group formation and stratification. Formulating questions
                              in relatively non-theoretical terms also helps us to see what data collection tech-
                              niques might be appropriate. Recognising our ignorance (rather than obscuring
                              it in abstract debates about theory constructs) also helps promote a healthy
                              humility!
                                In conclusion, focusing MAS design on data collection may not resolve the
                              difficulties of understanding complex systems, but it definitely provides a novel
                              perspective for their examination.

                              Notes

                                1.  This example illustrates the meaning of “theory” in social science. A theory is a set of observed
                              regularities (revolutions) explained by postulated social processes (exploitation of the proletariat, formation
                              of worker groups, recognition that revolution is necessary).
                                2. The problem has recently been recognised (Hedström and Swedburg 1998) but the role of simulation
                              in solving it is still regarded with scepticism by the majority of social scientists.
                              References




                               [1] Bousquet, F. et al. Simulating Fishermen’s Society, In: Gilbert, N. and Doran, J. E. (Eds.)
                                  Simulating Societies London: UCL Press, 1994.
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