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88       Part II: Using Different Types of Regression to Make Predictions



                      Pinpointing Possible Relationships


                                The third step in doing a multiple regression analysis (see the list in the
                                “Stepping through the analysis” section) is to find out which (if any) of your
                                possible x variables are actually related to y. If an x variable has no relationship
                                with y, including it in the model is pointless. Data analysts use a combination
                                of scatterplots and correlations to examine relationships between pairs of
                                variables (as you can see in Chapter 4). Although you can view these two
                                techniques under the heading of looking for relationships, I walk you through
                                each one separately in the following sections to discuss their nuances.


                                Making scatterplots


                                You make scatterplots in multiple linear regression to get a handle on
                                whether your possible x variables are even related to the y variable you’re
                                studying. To investigate these possible relationships, you make one scatterplot
                                of each x variable with the response variable y. If you have k different x variables
                                being considered for the final model, you make k different scatterplots.

                                To make a scatterplot in Minitab, enter your data in columns, where each
                                column represents a variable and each row represents all the data from one
                                individual. Go to Graph>Scatterplots>Simple. Select your y variable on the
                                left-hand side, and click Select. That variable appears in the y-variable box on
                                the right-hand side. Then select your x variable on the left-hand side, and
                                click Select. That variable appears in the x-variable box on the right-hand
                                side. Click OK.

                                Scatterplots of TV ad spending versus TV sales and newspaper ad spending
                                versus TV sales are shown in Figure 5-1.


                                    20.0                              20.0
                        Figure 5-1:   17.5                            17.5
                      Scatterplots   15.0                             15.0
                        of TV and
                       newspaper   Sales (in millions)  12.5          Sales (in millions)  12.5
                        ad spend-   10.0                              10.0
                        ing versus   7.5                               7.5
                        plasma TV   5.0                                5.0
                                       0   10   20   30  40   50          0   5    10  15   20  25
                           sales.           TV Ad Spending (in thousands)    Newspaper Spending (in thousands)
                                  a                                b













          10_466469-ch05.indd   88                                                                    7/24/09   9:32:33 AM
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