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Chapter 8: Random Variables and the Binomial Distribution

                                                    The variance is in square units, so it can’t be easily interpreted. You use stan-
                                                    dard deviation for interpretation because it is in the original units of X. The
                                                    standard deviation can be roughly interpreted as the average distance away
                                                    from the mean.
                                         Identifying a Binomial
                                                    The most well-known and loved discrete random variable is the binomial.
                                                    Binomial means two names and is associated with situations involving two
                                                    outcomes; for example yes/no, or success/failure (hitting a red light or not,
                                                    developing a side effect or not). This section focuses on the binomial random
                                                    variable — when you can use it, finding probabilities for it, and finding its
                                                    mean and variance.
                                                    A random variable is binomial (that is, it has a binomial distribution) if the
                                                    following four conditions are met:                                    135
                                                      1.  There are a fixed number of trials (n).
                                                      2.  Each trial has two possible outcomes: success or failure.
                                                      3.  The probability of success (call it p) is the same for each trial.
                                                      4.  The trials are independent, meaning the outcome of one trial doesn’t
                                                        influence that of any other.
                                                    Let X equal the total number of successes in n trials; if all four conditions are
                                                    met, X has a binomial distribution with probability of success (on each trial)
                                                    equal to p.
                                                    The lowercase p here stands for the probability of getting a success on one
                                                    single (individual) trial. It’s not the same as p(x), which means the probabil-
                                                    ity of getting x successes in n trials.
                                                    Checking binomial conditions step by step

                                                    You flip a fair coin 10 times and count the number of heads (X). Does X have
                                                    a binomial distribution? You can check by reviewing your responses to the
                                                    questions and statements in the list that follows:

                                                      1. Are there a fixed number of trials?
                                                         You’re flipping the coin 10 times, which is a fixed number. Condition 1 is
                                                        met, and n = 10.











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