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Renewable Energy: Scaling Deployment in the United States Chapter j 5  91


             factors: swept area and wind speed. As the rotor area (determined by the blade
             length) of the turbine doubles, the power output quadruples. A doubling of
             incoming wind speed translates to an eightfold increase in power output.
                Since 1998, the size of wind turbines has substantially increased, with rotor
             diameter more than doubling and tower height increasing by nearly 50%
             (Wind Technologies Market Report, 2015). This has contributed to a 180%
             increase in power output and has contributed to the price of wind-generated
             electricity dropping from about 40 cents/kWh in the early 1980s to around an
             average of 2e5 cents/kWh for newly built projects today (Wind Technologies
             Market Report, 2015; Cost of Wind Energy Review, 2015). Modern turbines
             can reach peak power outputs in the megawatt range, meaning that utility-scale
             aggregations of turbines (i.e., wind farms) can readily scale up to several
             gigawatts in size. Although arraying turbines in wind farms can help achieve
             economies of scale (particularly with respect to transmission costs), the use of
             stand-alone turbines can be an economically viable means of providing power
             to systems in remote locations, such as communications towers or rural irri-
             gation networks.
                Also in operation are various vertical-axis designs, which have a vertically
             oriented main rotor shaft and are usually situated on the ground or rooftops.
             Because wind speeds tend to be lower closer to the ground and these vertical-
             axis systems tend to be small in size, the power output from this category or
             turbines is usually low (in the watt or kilowatt range). Vertical-axis turbines
             represent about 2% of the generation capacity of small wind systems but are
             increasingly popular installations for distributed, renewable energy generation
             (Distributed Wind Market Report, 2015).
                Although wind power has been employed in the United States since the
             mid-19th century, the US modern wind industry did not develop until the
             1970s, when it was launched in response to the increasing cost of oil-based
             electricity generation. By the mid-1980s, California had 1.2 GW of installed
             wind capacity, which accounted for more than 90% of the global total.
             California’s dominance in this area is commonly attributed to the federal and
             state investment tax credits that were in place, as well as state-mandated utility
             contracts for wind power. After the expiration of state and federal investment
             incentives, the US wind industry stagnated until the late 1990s, at which time
             the first in a series of production tax credits (giving renewable power producers
             a rebate for each kWh generated) sparked renewed growth in domestic
             installations. In recent years, wind power has been a major component of
             nationwide generation capacity addition, growing from 10% of new capacity
             additions in 2005 to more than 40% of new additions in 2015 (Wind Technologies
             Market Report, 2015).
                In 2015, nearly 8600 MW of new wind generation capacity was brought
             online in the United States, bringing the cumulative installed capacity to nearly
             74,000 MW. At 17,700 MW, Texas leads the country in terms of total wind
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