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Life Cycle Analysis Chapter j 10 197


             and maintenance, installation, program administration, and customer dropout
             and removal of equipment (less salvage value). For fuel substitution programs,
             costs include the increased supply costs for the energy-using equipment
             chosen by the program participant only in the case of a combination utility, as
             mentioned earlier.
                In this test, revenue shifts are viewed as a transfer payment between par-
             ticipants and all ratepayers. Although a shift in revenue affects rates, it does
             not affect revenue requirements, which are defined as the difference between
             the net marginal energy and capacity costs avoided and program costs. Thus, if
             NPV pa >0 and NPV RIM <0, the administrator’s overall total costs will
             decrease, although rates may increase because the sales base over which
             revenue requirements are spread has decreased.


             How the Results Can Be Expressed

             The results of this test can be expressed as NPV, BCR, or levelized costs. The
             NPV is the primary test, and the BCR and levelized cost are the secondary
             tests.
                NPV pa is the benefit of the program minus the administrator’s costs, dis-
             counted over some specified period of time. An NPV above 0 indicates that
             this demand-side program would decrease the costs to the administrator and
             the utility.
                BCR pa is the ratio of the total discounted benefits of a program to the total
             discounted costs for a specified time period. A BCR above 1 indicates that the
             program would benefit the combined administrator and utility’s total cost
             situation.
                The levelized cost is a measure of the costs of the program to the
             administrator in a form that is sometimes used to estimate the costs of utility-
             owned supply additions. It presents the costs of the program to the adminis-
             trator and the utility on a per kW, per kWh, or per therm basis levelized over
             the life of the program.


             Strengths of the Program Administrator Cost Test
             As with the TRC Test, the PAC Test treats revenue shifts as transfer payments,
             meaning that the test results are not complicated by the uncertainties associ-
             ated with long-term rate projections and associated rate design assumptions. In
             contrast to the TRC Test, the Program Administrator Test includes only the
             portion of the participant’s equipment costs that is paid for by the adminis-
             trator in the form of an incentive. Therefore for purposes of comparison, costs
             in the PAC Test are defined similarly to those supply-side projects that also do
             not include direct customer costs.
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