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20                                           Part One: Why Resilience Now?



           EXAMPLES OF RESILIENCE I AND II

           The United States showed great resilience after 9/11. The economic
           recovery, after the most serious attack in U.S. history, was remarkable,
           and the people’s collective determination not to give in to terrorism was
           laudable. This was Resilience II. However, in terms of Resilience I, the
           record is less admirable. Despite multiple indications of a possible ter-
           rorist threat, no preventative action was taken. The 9/11 Commission
           Report calls the events “a shock, not a surprise” (see the Executive
           Summary, p. 2). Further, the eventual response to the threat—the forma-
           tion of a large Homeland Security Department—is questionable in
           terms of its ability to meet an ever-changing variety of threats. The for-
           mation of a prison camp in Guantanamo Bay also marked a forfeiture
           of the very values the country was supposed to defend, thus opening up
           an opportunity for the enemy to cry hypocrisy. All these things dimin-
           ish Resilience I, the capacity to turn the threat—hostile action—into an
           opportunity, namely the beginning of a new kind of relationship
           between the peoples of the United States and the Middle East (some-
           thing President Obama attempted in his speech in Cairo, June 4, 2009).





             I define strategic resilience as the capability to turn threats into oppor-
          tunities prior to their becoming either. This is a definition closer to
          Resilience I than Resilience II, but it sets an even higher standard. It is not
          sufficient to momentarily neutralize (Resilience I) or survive (Resilience II)
          threats—in the long term, such threats tend to resurface and wear the
          company down.
             Foundational to such resilience is having the courage to see opportunity
          where others see threat. Vinod Khosla, a highly acclaimed venture capital-
          ist in the Silicon Valley, recently raised $1.1 billion “to spur development of
          renewable energy and other clean technologies” (Los Angeles Times,
          September 2, 2009). Khosla describes part of the funding as “science exper-
          iments,” which perfectly captures the potential for serendipity—to create
          positive surprises, insightful understandings, or framings of happenstance
          events—that is so critical for resilience. These kinds of surprises are “fat
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