Page 89 - Using ANSYS for Finite Element Analysis Dynamic, Probabilistic, Design and Heat Transfer Analysis
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76  •   using ansys for finite eLement anaLysis
                  •  For univariate data, it is often useful to determine a reasonable dis-
                     tributional model for the data.
                  •  Statistical intervals and hypothesis tests are often based on spe-
                     cific distributional assumptions. Before computing an interval or
                     test based on a distributional assumption, we need to verify that
                     the assumption is justified for the given data set. In this case, the
                     distribution does not need to be the best-fitting distribution for the
                     data, but an adequate enough model so that the statistical technique
                     yields valid conclusions.
                  •  Simulation studies with random numbers generated from using a
                     specific probability distribution are often needed.

                    The  mathematical  definition  of  a  continuous  probability  function,
                f(x), is a function that satisfies the following properties.

                  1.  The probability that x is between two points a and b is:


                                     [
                                                   ()
                                   pa ≤  x ≤  b] = ∫ a b fx dx
                  2.  It is non-negative for all real x.
                  3.  The integral of the probability function is one, that is:

                                         ∞
                                            ()
                                       ∫ −∞ fx dx = 1

                    What  does  this  actually  mean?  Since continuous probability
                functions are defined for an infinite number of points over a continuous
                interval, the probability at a single point is always zero. Probabilities are
                measured over intervals, not single points. That is, the area under the
                curve between two distinct points defines the probability for that inter-
                val. This means that the height of the probability function can in fact be
                greater than one. The property that the integral must equal one is equiva-
                lent to the property for discrete distributions that the sum of all the prob-
                abilities must equal one.
                    Probability distributions are typically defined in terms of the proba-
                bility density function (pdf). However, there are a number of probability
                functions used in applications. For a continuous function, the pdf is the
                probability that the variate has the value x. Since for continuous distri-
                butions the probability at a single point is zero, this is often expressed in
                terms of an integral between two points.
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