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128    Cha pte r  T e n



                                                                      95%
                 #                                                                     Rank
                      Water Audit                    Annual Volume  Confidence
                A −  Z  Component        Item         (Million gal)  Limits   Variance  A −  Z
                26   Billed Metered   CPBC (City Paying   26.79     2.0%      0.07     11
                     Authorized    B&C)
                     Consumption
                28   Billed Metered   CPDS (City Paying   19.28     2.0%      0.04     12
                     Authorized    Docks and Ships)
                     Consumption
                50   Meter Error   2” without Affidavit    2.78      0.2%     0.00     15
                                    1
                49   Meter Error   1 / ” without       0.29          0.1%     0.00     18
                                      2
                                   Affidavit
                 6   System Input   Lake Merced Pump     7.60        2.6%     0.02     13
                     Volume        Station to Lake
                47   Meter Error   3/4” without        0.17         0.9%      0.00     17
                                   Affidavit
                48   Meter Error   1” without Affidavit     0.73    0.4%      0.00     16
                52   Meter Error   4” without Affidavit    0.01      0.0%     0.00     19


               Source: SFPUC Water Audit 04/05
               TABLE 10.4  Variance Analysis (Continued)

                       By ranking the water balance input components which have the greatest impact, the audi-
                    tor can quickly identify those components that should be field validated. Obviously field
                    validation is the best means to confirm that the output from a model truly represents field
                    conditions. However, field measurements require time and resources (staffing, equipment)
                    and it is often desirable to limit the extent of field validation in order to contain activities
                    within a reasonable water audit budget. In this way, the key variables are field validated and
                    the auditor works down the list until the desired aggregated confidence limit is reached. It is
                    important to note at this stage that the operator should strive to model ranges of volume for
                    each key component of water loss. Water loss volumes are not absolute volumes.
                       A detailed procedure for preparing the standard top down water balance can be
                    found in the third edition of the AWWA M36 publication.

               10.3  Component Analysis and Modeling of Apparent Loss
                    Modeling components of apparent losses has been done in many forms for many years.
                    One example of apparent loss modeling is the attempt to quantify the volume of water
                    not registered due to customer meter underregistration. However, in recent years com-
                    ponent analysis of apparent losses has been approached in a similar manner as the
                    methods of real losses modeling; where components of apparent loss are shown as mul-
                    tiples of an unavoidable annual volume.
                       In Table 10.5, first attempts at a component analysis model for apparent losses can
                    be seen.
                       The IWA Water Loss Task Force Apparent Loss Team is currently working to develop
                    an unavoidable annual apparent loss (UAAL) formula that calculates the minimum
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