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242  4 Life Cycle Impact Assessment

                    strongly acid aerosol particles at the extremely low temperatures of the Antarctic
                    stratosphere play an important part in mechanisms of reactions of the catalytic
                    ozone depletion. As the Arctic stratosphere does not have such a deep cooling down
                    potential compared to the Antarctic, the effect is less retractable but nevertheless
                    measurable: in the Antarctic – and to a lesser extent – in the Arctic spring, there is
                    a strong decrease of stratospheric ozone concentration depicted as the ‘ozone hole’.
                    Inspite of a measurable increase of ozone concentration in the course of the year,
                    annually measured minimum concentrations have decreased. Measurements also
                    show the decrease in the stratospheric ozone concentration in non-polar regions
                    based on the impact of homogeneous catalysis predicted by Roland and Molina. 189)
                    This decrease is less dramatic than the ozone holes, but continuous.
                      The discovery of the ‘ozone hole’ certainly accelerated the international political
                    agreement under the patronage of the UN, particularly with regard to concrete mea-
                    sures (a Principle Declaration the ‘Vienna Convention’ dates before the discovery
                    of the ozone hole):
                    • Vienna Convention for the protection of the ozone layer dated March 22, 1985
                      (‘Vienna Convention’; Discovery of the ozone hole in autumn 1985).
                    • Montreal Protocol dated September 16, 1987 on substances inducing the decay
                      of the ozone layer. 190)
                    Within an amazingly short period of time concrete lists and schedules for the
                    production phase-out of substances causing the ozone depletion was provided. At
                    the same time the development of chlorine free substitutes began for special areas
                    of CFC applications. Unfortunately some of these substitutes are identical to those
                    causing the greenhouse effect 191)  (Table 4.9) resulting in counter-productive effects.
                      Both the interim report of the Enqu` ete Commission as well as a statement by
                    Rowland 192)  showed the surprise following the emergence of the ozone hole that
                    had not been predicted. This dramatically exemplifies that highly complex systems
                    like the stratosphere are far from offering themselves to a complete computation.
                    Unpredictabilities are always possible and therefore the precautionary principle is
                    to be taken seriously, to act before full scientific evidence on an environmental
                    damaging impact is provided. With a minimum concentration decrease the ozone
                    hole continues to grow which has been verified by measurements. It now extends
                    far beyond the continent 193)  although the most important substances responsible for
                    the ozone hole have been internationally banned for years causing a slow decrease
                    of their concentration in the atmosphere.

                    4.5.2.3.3  Impact Indicator and Characterisation Factors  The impact indicator for
                    the category ‘stratospheric ozone depletion’ is the formation of chlorine (and




                    189) Rowland and Molina (1975) and Dameris et al. (2007).
                    190) Deutscher Bundestag (1988).
                    191) IPCC (1995a), Kl¨ opffer and Meilinger (2001a) and IPCC/TEAP (2007).
                    192) Deutscher Bundestag (1988) and Rowland (1994).
                    193) Dameris et al. (2007).
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