Page 230 - A First Course In Stochastic Models
P. 230

QUEUEING NETWORKS                        223

                  In other words, the arrival theorem states that in steady state the customer-average
                probability distribution of the state seen by an arriving customer (not counting this
                customer) is the same as the time-average probability distribution of the state in the
                closed network with one customer less. A special case of the arrival theorem was
                encountered in the Engset model; see relation (5.2.4). The product-form solution
                is crucial for the arrival theorem. It is noted that the arrival theorem remains valid
                for the closed network with a BCMP service discipline at each station. Then the
                product-form solution

                                  p(n 1 , . . . , n K ) = Cp 1 (n 1 ) · · · p K (n K )
                holds for appropriate probability distributions {p 1 (n 1 )}, . . . , {p K (n K )}.
                  To calculate the average number of customers and the average sojourn times at
                the different stations, we take the fixed number of customers moving around in the
                network as parameter. For the closed network with a fixed number of m customers,
                define the following long-run averages:

                      L m (j) = the average number of customers present at station j,
                      W m (j) = the average sojourn time of a customer at station j on
                              each visit,
                      λ m (j) = the average number of arrivals per time unit at station j.
                Note that λ m (j) also gives the average throughput at station j. Also, by Little’s
                formula, λ m (j)/µ j gives the long-run fraction of time the server at station j is
                busy. For a constant γ m > 0, we have by (5.6.13) that
                                    λ m (j) = γ m π j ,  j = 1, . . . , K,  (5.6.17)
                where the π j are the equilibrium probabilities associated with the Markov matrix
                P =(p ij ). By Little’s formula,
                                 L m (j) = λ m (j)W m (j),  j = 1, . . . , K.  (5.6.18)

                Obviously, we have
                                           K

                                              L m (j) = m.                  (5.6.19)
                                           j=1
                The arrival theorem implies the key relation

                                       1
                              W m (j) =   1 + L m−1 (j) ,  j = 1, . . . , K.  (5.6.20)
                                      µ j
                To see this, note that an arriving customer at node j sees on average

                            n j π j (n 1 , . . . , n K ) =  n j p m−1 (n 1 , . . . , n K ) = L m−1 (j)
                  (n 1 ,... ,n K ):            (n 1 ,... ,n K ):
                n 1 +···+n K =m−1            n 1 +···+n K =m−1
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