Page 133 - Accelerating out of the Great Recession
P. 133

ACCELERATING OUT OF THE GREAT RECESSION


           5. Invest in the future through M&A and divestments.
           6. Employ game-changing strategies.





                       ■ FOCUS ON INNOVATION ■
        History has shown us that innovation is the engine that spurs
        new periods of growth.  We have already referred to
        Kondratiev’s work and how some of the greatest technological
        advances heralded new eras of prosperity. And even if one does
        not subscribe to the theory of K-cycles, one need only look at
        the Great Depression to see how innovation can make all the
        difference to the fortunes of individual companies.
           Take a look, for example, at IBM—a company that during the
        Great Depression did an effective job of combining research and
        development, investing in building technical capabilities, and
        understanding changing customer needs and business condi-
        tions. The small but growing business-machines industry was
        one of the worst affected during the Great Depression—the
        production of business machines saw a 60 percent decline
        between 1929 and 1932. Many firms filed for bankruptcy, and
        the few survivors scaled back costs.
           IBM, then a relatively small player in the industry, was less
        severely affected than its larger rivals. It decided that it could
        leverage its position by maintaining (rather than reducing)
        production capacity and by increasing its investment in
        innovation.
           These bold decisions were driven by  Thomas J.  Watson’s
        conviction that the industry faced a huge opportunity for
        growth in the years ahead. In 1929, only 5 percent of business
        accounting functions were automated. Watson, then president



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