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on biofuel production, e.g., producing liquid biofuel and using the residual biomass to generate
        methane by anaerobic conversion       13,39,48,49  or to be subjected to thermochemical conversion
        (e.g., Ref 42). Another option is to generate a variety of partially nonenergetic microalgal
        coproducts, using a biorefinery (e.g., Refs 23–26, 50, and 51). Still another option is the
        coproduction of biodiesel, glycerol, and algal cake (which may serve as feed) (e.g., Ref 27).

        Estimating realistic future biomass and lipid yields from open ponds is hard. On one hand,
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        there are efforts to increase biomass and lipid yields (m ) of algal cultivation area by
        selection, by genetic engineering including reconfiguration of the photosynthetic system and
        metabolic engineering, and by synthetic biology.       11, 52-58  It has been proposed to increase
        biomass yields by genetic engineering for truncated antennae, and to increase biomass and
        lipid yield by metabolic engineering. Demonstrations of the intended increases in yield under
        conditions used for commercial production have however been absent so far. Modalities of
        cultivation, which may increase lipid yields such as additives and N-limitation are also
        studied. 59-61

        On the other hand, in practice, commercial production tends to generate lower yields than

        achievable in well controlled experimental settings.       2,61  The differences in yields can
        apparently be large when production is in open ponds. For the cultivation of Spirulina,
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        Vonshak and Richmond,  e.g., found the yield from commercial production to be a factor 5 to 6
        lower than from well controlled small-scale production. A major problem of growing
        microalgae in open systems such as ponds is the vulnerability of autotrophic microalgal
        cultures to contamination with competing microorganisms, grazers (consumers of algae), and
        infective agents, including viruses and bacteria.     37, 61-64  In practice, strategies to keep out

        competing microorganisms and grazers in open systems have led to commercial growing of
        autotrophic algae suitable for lipid-based liquid biofuel production under extreme conditions
        (such as a high pH or a high NaCl concentration).       61,63  Such extreme conditions are not
        conducive to high biomass yields. And in such systems, production may still be lowered
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        because of, e.g., heavy rainfall (leading to less extreme conditions) and infections.  So far,
        there has apparently been no practical demonstration of successful open systems continuously
        producing autotrophic microalgae for biofuels, while not employing extreme conditions.              61,63
        Moreover, expansion of algal cultivation may well lead to an increase of infection pressure,
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        negatively affecting future yields.  All in all, future lipid yields in commercial open ponds,
        which—as pointed out above—would seem preferable from the perspective of cost and scale,
        would seem as yet highly uncertain.



        AN ENERGETIC CRITERION FOR ENERGY SOURCES


        To make energetic sense, energy sources should show a good energetic return on energy
        investment.  65-68  This return, energy return on investment, abbreviated as EROI, is the ratio of
        energy delivered to the life cycle input of (man-made) energy. Current major transport energy
        sources have EROIs of more than 5 (e.g., Refs 27, 66, and 67). This holds both for mineral oil-
        based fuels such as gasoline and diesel and for electricity.      27,66,67  An EROI of more than 5 also
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