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ONLINE CHAPTERS 16.5 Trend and Seasonal Components
Multiplicative Model
Calculating the Seasonal Indexes
15 Integer Linear Programming Deseasonalizing the Time Series
Using Deseasonalized Time Series to Identify
15.1 Types of Integer Linear Programming Models Trend
15.2 Graphical and Computer Solutions for an All- Seasonal Adjustments
Integer Linear Programme Models Based on Monthly Data
Graphical Solution of the LP Relaxation Cyclical Component
Rounding to Obtain an Integer Solution 16.6 Regression Analysis
Graphical Solution of the All-Integer Problem Using Regression Analysis as a Causal
Using the LP Relaxation to Establish Bounds Forecasting Method
Computer Solution
Statistical Evaluation of the Regression
Branch and bound solution
Equation 747
15.3 Applications Involving 0–1 Variables Capital Regression with Excel 751
Budgeting Extensions to Sample Linear Regression
Fixed Cost 16.7 Qualitative Approaches
Distribution System Design Delphi Method
Planning Location Expert Judgement
15.4 Modelling flexibility provided by 0–1 Integer Scenario Writing
Variables Intuitive Approaches
Multiple-Choice and Mutually Exclusive Summary
Constraints Worked Example 1
k Out of n Alternatives Constraint Problems
Conditional and Corequisite Constraints Case Problem 1 Forecasting Sales
A Cautionary Note About Sensitivity Analysis Case Problem 2 Forecasting Lost Sales
Summary Appendix 16.1 Using Excel for Forecasting
Worked Example 1
Problems 17 Dynamic Programming
Case Problem 1 Textbook Publishing
Case Problem 2 Yeager National Bank 17.1 A Shortest-Route Problem
Case Problem 3 Buckeye Manufacturing
17.2 Dynamic Programming Notation
Appendix 15.1 Excel Solution of Integer Linear
17.3 The Knapsack Problem
Programmes
17.4 A Production and Inventory Control Problem
16 Forecasting Summary
Worked Example 1
16.1 Components of a Time Series Problems
Trend Component Case Problem Process Design
Cyclical Component
Seasonal Component
Irregular Component 18 Markov Processes
16.2 Smoothing Methods 18.1 Market Share Analysis
16.3 Moving Averages 18.2 Debt Management
Weighted Moving Averages Fundamental Matrix and Associated
Exponential Smoothing Calculations
16.4 Trend Projection Establishing the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

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