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submitting your report. Consider two possible responses to this report.

                          1.  Your boss accepts the report and notes that the report appears to be excellent and he or she
                             looks forward to reading it.
                          2.   Your  boss  expresses  concern  and  returns  the  report  as  before.  In  this  case,  you  have  a
                             reasoned response available. You show that your solution is consistent with the heuristic you
                             used to check your work. With this supporting evidence your boss would have to rethink his or
                             her response and provide you with an explanation regarding his or her concern.


                          In either case, your work will have made a good impression.



                    Guidelines and heuristics are frequently used to make quick estimates during meetings and conferences
                    and are valuable in refreshing one’s memory with important information.


                    11.1.2 Maximizing the Benefits Obtained from Experience





                    No  printed  article,  lecture,  or  text  is  a  substitute  for  the  perceptions  resulting  from  experience.  An
                    engineer  must  be  capable  of  transferring  knowledge  gained  from  one  or  more  experiences  to  resolve
                    future problems successfully.


                    To benefit fully from experience, it is important to make a conscious effort to use each new experience to
                    build a foundation upon which to increase your ability to handle and to solve new problems.


                          An  experienced  engineer  retains  a  body  of  information,  made  up  largely  of  heuristics  and
                          shortcut calculation methods, that is available to help solve new problems.


                    The process by which an engineer uses information and creates new heuristics consists of three steps.
                    These three steps are predict, authenticate, and reevaluate, and they form the basis of the PAR process.

                    The elements of this process are presented in Table 11.1, which illustrates the steps used in the PAR
                    process.

                    Table 11.1 PAR Process to Maximize Benefits of Experience: Predict, Authenticate, Reevaluate


                          1.   Predict: This is a precondition of the PAR process. It represents your best prediction of the
                                solution. It often involves making assumptions and applying heuristics based on experience.
                                Calculations should be limited to back-of-the-envelope or shortcut techniques.
                          2.   Authenticate/Analyze: In this step, you seek out equations and relationships, do research
                                relative to the problem, and perform the calculations that lead toward a solution. The ability to
                                carry out this activity provides a necessary but not sufficient condition to be an engineer. When
                                possible, information from actual operations is included in order to achieve the best possible
                                solution.
                          3.   Reevaluate/Rethink: The best possible solution from Step 2 is compared with the predicted
                                solution in Step 1. When the prediction is not acceptable, it is necessary to correct the
                                reasoning that led to the poor prediction. It becomes necessary to remove, revise, and replace
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