Page 59 - Applied Process Design for Chemical and Petrochemical Plants Volume I
P. 59

F’rocess Planning, Scheduling and Flowsheet Design                      47

           ments will  give  total  plant  costs. The plant  will  include   E’,   = Cost of plant or section of plant of original capac-
           usual control buildings, structure, foundations, overhead       ity “a.”
           charges, constructioii fees, engineering costs, etc. A value   Cb = Capacity of plant or section of new requirements.
           of 4.8 is usually quite good.                               C,  = Capacity of plant or section of original requirements.
             The process designer must be aware of costs as reflect-
           ed in  the  (1) selection  of  a basic process route  (2)  the   This is applicable for any given yeax of installation but
           equipment to be used in the process and  (3) the details   does not correct for the differences in cost from year to
           incorporated into the equipment. The designer must not   year. This is conveniently done as described in the section
           arbitrarily select equipment, specifjr details or set pressure   for year  indices. Experience  has  indicated  that  this  six-
           levels for design without recognizing the relative effect on   tenths rule is reasonably accurate for capacity scale-up of
           the  specific cost of  an  item  as well as associated equip-   individual items of equipment. Thus, if the cost of one size
           ment such as relieving devices, instruments, etc.     of a piece of equipment is known, an estimating figure for
             With  more  and  better  information  regarding  the   one twice as large can be found by multiplying by  (2)0.6.
           process and layout ]plans, estimating engineers can  pre-   The most  difficult feature  of  this method  is  that  for
           pare  detaiIed  estimates which  are  often  quite  accurate,   each type of plant or plant product as well as for each type
           usually  %IO percent  for  the  best.  It  is  the  duty  of  the   of  equipment  there  is  a  break-point  where  the  0.6  no
           process designer to supply the best information in order   longer correlates the change in capacity. For small equip-
           to contribute to better or im                         ment or plants in reasonable pilot or semi-works size, the
             Estimating equipment costs is a specialty field in itself.   slope  of  the  cost  curve  increases  and  the  cost  ratio  is
           Therefore, the estimator must have access to continuous-   greater than 0.6, sometimes 0.75, 0.8 or 0.9. From several
           ly  updated  basic  reference  costs and  to  graphical  costs   cost values for respective capacities a log-log plot of capac-
           relations which are a function  of  capacity of  this equip-   ity versus cost will  indicate  the proper  exponent by  the
           ment.  Page’s  [IO]  Estimator’s  Manual  of Equipment  and   slope of the resultant curve. Extrapolation  beyond eight
           Installation  Costs is a  hielpful reference.  Since the  equip-   or ten fold is usually not too accurate.
           ment is only a portion of the total cost of  a plant, or an
           addition  to  a  chemical  project,  installation  costs which
              ect the  labor  portion  of  the  total  cost must  also be   Yearly Cost Indices
           determined.  Useful  and  compreliensive  data  for  such
           needs  are  presented  for  equipment  [lo], general  con-   The  three  most  used  cost  indices  for  the  chemical,
           struction  [ 11 ],  heating,  air-conditioning,  ventilating,   petrochemical, and refining industry for relating the cost
           plumbing  [12], piping [Is], electrical [14] and all disci-   level  of a given year or month to a reference point are
           plines [42] in the references indicated.
             From  such  information  even the  inexperienced  esti-   I. Chemical Engineering Plant  Cost Index  [42]. Probably
           mator  can establish an approximation of  the costs, pro-   the most commonly used cost adjusting index print-
           vided  he  adequately  visualizes  the  work  functions  and   ed/updated  monthly is in Chemical Engznemhg Mag-
           steps involved. Fromi the same type of work reference, the   azine and has established continuity over many years.
           experienced estimalor can develop a realistic cost, usual-   Its breakdown component costs apply to plants and
           ly  expressed  with  certain  contingencies  to  allow  for   plant equipment/systems.
           unknown  factors and changing  conditions.  The  profes-   2.  Marshall  and  Sw@ Equipment  Cost Index [57]. Com-
           sional  estimator  will1  normally  develop  cost  charts  and   monly  used  for  process  industry  equipment  and
           tables peculiar  to  the  nature  of  his responsibilities and   index numbers presented  by  industries in  Chemical
           requirements of his employer.
                                                                     Engineering Magazine on a monthly basis.
                                                                   3. Nelson Index [58]. This is generally suited to petrole-
                                                                     um refining  plants and is referenced  to them. It is
             Tlhis factor as presented by  Ghilton [4] has been used   updated and published regularly in  The Oil and  Gas
           for scale-up of total or segments of plant cost.          Journal.

                                                                   These indices are used to update costs when values at
                                                                some  date  are  known. The new  costs are  of  estimating
                                                                accuracy and should be verified whenever possible,  just as
                                                                the results of using the 0.6 power for correlating cost and
           where  Pb = Cost of plant or section ofplant of new capacity “b.”   capacity.
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