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PQ220 6234F.Ch 03  13/04/2002  03:19 PM  Page 87






                                                                          3-8 HYPERGEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION  87

                                   and

                                                      V1X2   411 3212 3231300     42 2994   0.88


                                       For a hypergeometric random variable, E1X2  is similar to the mean a binomial random
                                   variable. Also, V1X2  differs from the result for a binomial random variable only by the term
                                   shown below.



                             Finite
                          Population   The term in the variance of a hypergeometric random variable
                          Correction
                             Factor
                                                                      N   n
                                                                      N   1

                                       is called the finite population correction factor.




                                   Sampling with replacement is equivalent to sampling from an infinite set because the propor-
                                   tion of success remains constant for every trial in the experiment. As mentioned previously, if
                                   sampling were done with replacement, X would be a binomial random variable and its vari-
                                   ance would be np(1   p). Consequently, the finite population correction represents the cor-
                                   rection to the binomial variance that results because the sampling is without replacement from
                                   the finite set of size N.
                                       If n is small relative to N, the correction is small and the hypergeometric distribution is sim-
                                   ilar to the binomial. In this case, a binomial distribution can effectively approximate the distribu-
                                   tion of the number of units of a specified type in the sample. A case is illustrated in Fig. 3-13.

                 EXAMPLE 3-29      A listing of customer accounts at a large corporation contains 1000 customers. Of these, 700
                                   have purchased at least one of the corporation’s products in the last three months. To evaluate
                                   a new product design, 50 customers are sampled at random from the corporate listing. What is




                                                       0.3


                                                       0.2
                                                    (x)
                                                       0.1

                                                       0.0
                                                          0    1    2    3    4    5
                                                                       x
                                                            Hypergeometric N = 50, n = 5, K = 25
                                                            Binomial n = 5, p = 0.5
                 Figure 3-13
                 Comparison of hyper-                 0        1         2        3         4        5
                 geometric and binomial  Hypergeometric probability 0.025  0.149  0.326  0.326  0.149  0.025
                 distributions.     Binomial probability  0.031  0.156   0.321    0.312     0.156    0.031
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