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                                            4-2 PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS AND PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTIONS  101


                                   f(x)







                                             12.5 12.6              x
                                   Figure 4-5 Probability density function for
                                   Example 4-2.



                                   As another example,

                                                                         20

                                                          P15   X   202    f 1x2 dx   0.75

                                                                          5


                 EXAMPLE 4-2       Let the continuous random variable X denote the diameter of a hole drilled in a sheet metal
                                   component. The target diameter is 12.5 millimeters. Most random disturbances to the process
                                   result in larger diameters. Historical data show that the distribution of X can be modeled by a
                                   probability density function  f 1x2   20e  201x 12.52 , x   12.5.
                                       If a part with a diameter larger than 12.60 millimeters is scrapped, what proportion of
                                   parts is scrapped? The density function and the requested probability are shown in Fig. 4-5. A
                                   part is scrapped if X   12.60.  Now,

                                                                        201x 12.52      201x 12.52
                                         P1X   12.602    f 1x2 dx    20e        dx   e         `    0.135
                                                                                               12.6
                                                       12.6       12.6
                                       What proportion of parts is between 12.5 and 12.6 millimeters? Now,

                                                                   12.6                  12.6
                                                                                 201x 12.52
                                               P112.5   X   12.62    f 1x2 dx   e       `     0.865
                                                                                         12.5
                                                                   12.5
                                   Because the total area under f(x) equals 1, we can also calculate  P112.5   X   12.62
                                   1   P1X   12.62   1   0.135   0.865.




                 EXERCISES FOR SECTION 4-2
                 4-1.  Suppose that  f 1x2   e  x  for 0   x.  Determine the fol-  4-3.  Suppose that f 1x2   x	8  for 3   x   5.  Determine the
                 lowing probabilities:                           following probabilities:
                 (a) P11   X 2  (b) P11   X   2.52               (a) P1X   42          (b) P1X   3.52
                 (c) P1X   32  (d) P1X   42                      (c) P14   X   52      (d) P1X   4.52
                 (e) P13   X 2                                   (e) P1X   3.5 or X   4.52
                 4-2.  Suppose that  f 1x2   e  x  for 0   x.    4-4.  Suppose that  f 1x2   e  1x 42  for 4   x.  Determine the
                 (a) Determine x such that P1x   X 2   0.10.     following probabilities:
                 (b) Determine x such that P1X   x2   0.10.      (a) P11   X 2  (b) P12   X   52
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