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                                                                  5-2 MULTIPLE DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES  155


                                   The multinomial distribution is considered a multivariable extension of the binomial
                                   distribution.

                 EXAMPLE 5-13      In Example 5-12, let the random variables X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , and X 4 denote the number of bits that are
                                   E, G, F, and P, respectively, in a transmission of 20 bits. The probability that 12 of the bits
                                   received are E, 6 are G, 2 are F, and 0 are P is

                                                                           20!
                                                                                       6
                                                                                           2
                                                                                                0
                                                                                   12
                                              12, X   6, X   2, X   02            0.6 0.3 0.08 0.02   0.0358
                                        P1X 1      2     3      4
                                                                        12!6!2!0!
                                       Each trial in a multinomial random experiment can be regarded as either generating or not
                                   generating a result in class i, for each i   1, 2, . . . , k. Because the random variable X i is the
                                   number of trials that result in class i, X i has a binomial distribution.

                                       If X , X , . . . , X have a multinomial distribution, the marginal probability distribu-
                                             2
                                                    k
                                          1
                                       tion of X is binomial with
                                              i
                                                        E1X i 2   np i   and  V 1X i 2   np i  11   p i 2  (5-14)

                 EXAMPLE 5-14      In Example 5-13, the marginal probability distribution of X is binomial with n   20 and
                                                                                    2
                                   p   0.3. Furthermore, the joint marginal probability distribution of X and X is found as
                                                                                                   3
                                                                                             2
                                   follows. The P(X   x , X   x ) is the probability that exactly x trials result in G and that x 3
                                                                                       2
                                                     2
                                                        3
                                                            3
                                                 2
                                   result in F. The remaining n   x   x trials must result in either E or P. Consequently, we can
                                                                 3
                                                             2
                                   consider each trial in the experiment to result in one of three classes, {G}, {F}, or {E, P}, with
                                   probabilities 0.3, 0.08, and 0.6   0.02   0.62, respectively. With these new classes, we can
                                   consider the trials to comprise a new multinomial experiment. Therefore,
                                                 f   1x , x 2   P1X   x , X   x 2
                                                                     3
                                                                          3
                                                              2
                                                                  2
                                                    2
                                                      3
                                               X 2  X 3
                                                                   n!
                                                                              10.32 10.082 10.622 n x 2  x 3
                                                                                x 2
                                                                                      x 3
                                                           x !x ! 1n   x   x 2!
                                                            2
                                                                          3
                                                                     2
                                                              3
                                   The joint probability distribution of other sets of variables can be found similarly.
                 EXERCISES FOR SECTION 5-2
                 5-17.  Suppose the random variables X, Y, and Z have the  Determine the following:
                 following joint probability distribution        (a) P 1X   22  (b) P 1X   1, Y   22
                                                                 (c) P 1Z   1.52  (d) P 1X   1  or  Z   22
                           x     y     z      f(x, y, z)         (e) E 1X 2
                           1     1     1       0.05              5-18.  Continuation of Exercise 5-17. Determine the follow-
                           1     1     2       0.10              ing:
                                                                 (a) P 1X   1 ƒ Y   12  ( b ) P 1X   1, Y   1 ƒ Z   22
                           1     2     1       0.15
                                                                 (c) P 1X   1 ƒ Y   1,  Z   22
                           1     2     2       0.20
                                                                 5-19.  Continuation of Exercise 5-17. Determine the condi-
                           2     1     1       0.20
                                                                 tional probability distribution of X given that Y   1 and Z   2.
                           2     1     2       0.15
                                                                 5-20.  Based on the number of voids, a ferrite slab is classi-
                           2     2     1       0.10
                                                                 fied as either high, medium, or low. Historically, 5% of the
                           2     2     2       0.05
                                                                 slabs are classified as high, 85% as medium, and 10% as low.
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