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               270     CHAPTER 8 STATISTICAL INTERVALS FOR A SINGLE SAMPLE


               8-51.  Consider the television tube brightness test described  8-56.  How would you obtain a one-sided prediction bound
               in Exercise 8-24. Compute a 99% prediction interval on the  on a future observation? Apply this procedure to obtain a 95%
               brightness of the next tube tested. Compare the length of the  one-sided prediction bound on the wall thickness of the next
               prediction interval with the length of the 99% CI on the popu-  bottle for the situation described in Exercise 8-29.
               lation mean.                                    8-57.  Consider the fuel rod enrichment data described
               8-52.  Consider the margarine test described in Exercise 8-25.  in Exercise 8-30. Compute a 99% prediction interval on the
               Compute a 99% prediction interval on the polyunsaturated  enrichment of the next rod tested. Compare the length of the
               fatty acid in the next package of margarine that is tested.  prediction interval with the length of the 95% CI on the
               Compare the length of the prediction interval with the length  population mean.
               of the 99% CI on the population mean.           8-58.  Consider the syrup dispensing measurements de-
               8-53.  Consider the test on the compressive strength of con-  scribed in Exercise 8-31. Compute a 95% prediction interval
               crete described in Exercise 8-26. Compute a 90% prediction  on the syrup volume in the next beverage dispensed. Compare
               interval on the next specimen of concrete tested.  the length of the prediction interval with the length of the 95%
               8-54.  Consider the suspension rod diameter measurements  CI on the population mean.
               described in Exercise 8-27. Compute a 95% prediction inter-  8-59.  Consider the natural frequency of beams described
               val on the diameter of the next rod tested. Compare the length  in Exercise 8-32. Compute a 90% prediction interval on the
               of the prediction interval with the length of the 95% CI on the  diameter of the natural frequency of the next beam of this
               population mean.                                type that will be tested. Compare the length of the prediction
               8-55.  Consider the bottle wall thickness measurements  interval with the length of the 95% CI on the population
               described in Exercise 8-29. Compute a 90% prediction interval  mean.
               on the wall thickness of the next bottle tested.






               8-7  TOLERANCE INTERVALS FOR A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

                                 Consider a population of semiconductor processors. Suppose that the speed of these processors
                                 has a normal distribution with mean    600 megahertz and standard deviation    30 mega-
                                 hertz. Then the interval from 600   1.96(30)   541.2 to 600   1.96(30)   658.8 megahertz
                                 captures the speed of 95% of the processors in this population because the interval from
                                  1.96 to 1.96 captures 95% of the area under the standard normal curve. The interval from
                                    z   2  to    z   2   is called a tolerance interval.
                                    If   and   are unknown, we can use the data from a random sample of size n to compute
                                 x  and s, and then form the interval 1x   1.96 s, x   1.96 s2  . However, because of sampling
                                            x
                                 variability in  and s, it is likely that this interval will contain less than 95% of the values in
                                 the population. The solution to this problem is to replace 1.96 by some value that will make
                                 the proportion of the distribution contained in the interval 95% with some level of confidence.
                                 Fortunately, it is easy to do this.


                       Definition
                                    A tolerance interval for capturing at least  % of the values in a normal distribution
                                    with confidence level 100(1   )% is

                                                              x   ks,   x   ks

                                    where k is a tolerance interval factor found in Appendix Table XI. Values are given
                                    for    90%, 95%, and 95% and for 95% and 99% confidence.
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