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               284     CHAPTER 9 TESTS OF HYPOTHESES FOR A SINGLE SAMPLE


                                   0.8
                                                           µ
                                             µ
                                       Under H 0 :    = 50  Under H 1 :    = 52
                                   0.6
                                  Probability density  0.4




               Figure 9-5  The     0.2
               probability of type II
                                    0
               error when    52      46   48   50    52   54   56
               and n   16.                        – x

                                 in many practical situations we would not be as concerned with making a type II error if the mean
                                 were “close” to the hypothesized value. We would be much more interested in detecting large
                                 differences between the true mean and the value specified in the null hypothesis.
                                    The type II error probability also depends on the sample size n. Suppose that the null
                                 hypothesis is  H :    50  centimeters per second and that the true value of the mean is
                                              0
                                    52.  If the sample size is increased from n   10 to n   16, the situation of Fig. 9-5 results.
                                 The normal distribution on the left is the distribution of X  when the mean    50 , and the
                                 normal distribution on the right is the distribution of X  when    52 . As shown in Fig. 9-5,
                                 the type II error probability is

                                                         P 148.5   X   51.5 when    522

                                 When n   16 , the standard deviation of X  is  
 1n   2.5
 116   0.625 , and the z-values
                                 corresponding to 48.5 and 51.5 when    52  are

                                                  48.5 
 52                   51.5 
 52
                                              z             
5.60  and  z               
0.80
                                                                          2
                                               1
                                                    0.625                       0.625
                                 Therefore

                                               P1
5.60   Z  
0.802   P1Z  
0.802 
 P1Z  
5.602
                                               0.2119 
 0.0000   0.2119

                                 Recall that when n   10  and    52 , we found that    0.2643 ; therefore, increasing the
                                 sample size results in a decrease in the probability of type II error.
                                    The results from this section and a few other similar calculations are summarized in the
                                 following table:


                                    Acceptance        Sample
                                     Region            Size        	            at    52        at    50.5

                                  48.5   x   51.5       10         0.0576        0.2643           0.8923
                                  48    x   52          10         0.0114        0.5000           0.9705
                                  48.5   x   51.5       16         0.0164        0.2119           0.9445
                                  48    x   52          16         0.0014        0.5000           0.9918
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