Page 37 - Applied Statistics And Probability For Engineers
P. 37

c02.qxd  5/10/02  1:06 PM  Page 20 RK UL 6 RK UL 6:Desktop Folder:TEMP WORK:MONTGOMERY:REVISES UPLO D CH114 FIN L:Quark Files:






               20     CHAPTER 2 PROBABILITY


                                 depends on the objectives of the study. As specific questions occur later in the book, appro-
                                 priate sample spaces are discussed.

               EXAMPLE 2-2       If two connectors are selected and measured, the extension of the positive real line R is to take
                                 the sample space to be the positive quadrant of the plane:


                                                                S   R   R
                                    If the objective of the analysis is to consider only whether or not the parts conform to the
                                 manufacturing specifications, either part may or may not conform. We abbreviate yes and no
                                 as y and n. If the ordered pair yn indicates that the first connector conforms and the second
                                 does not, the sample space can be represented by the four outcomes:

                                                              S   5yy, yn, ny, nn6

                                    If we are only interested in the number of conforming parts in the sample, we might sum-
                                 marize the sample space as


                                                                 S   50, 1, 26
                                    As another example, consider an experiment in which the thickness is measured until a
                                 connector fails to meet the specifications. The sample space can be represented as

                                                     S   5n, yn, yyn, yyyn, yyyyn, and so forth6

                                    In random experiments in which items are selected from a batch, we will indicate whether
                                 or not a selected item is replaced before the next one is selected. For example, if the batch
                                 consists of three items {a, b, c} and our experiment is to select two items without replace-
                                 ment, the sample space can be represented as


                                                         S without    5ab, ac, ba, bc, ca, cb6
                                 This description of the sample space maintains the order of the items selected so that the out-
                                 come ab and ba are separate elements in the sample space. A sample space with less detail
                                 only describes the two items selected {{a, b}, {a, c}, {b, c}}. This sample space is the possi-
                                 ble subsets of two items. Sometimes the ordered outcomes are needed, but in other cases the
                                 simpler, unordered sample space is sufficient.
                                    If items are replaced before the next one is selected, the sampling is referred to as with
                                 replacement. Then the possible ordered outcomes are

                                                            5aa, ab, ac, ba, bb, bc, ca, cb, cc6
                                                      S with
                                 The unordered description of the sample space is {{a, a}, {a, b}, {a, c}, {b, b}, {b, c}, {c, c}}.
                                 Sampling without replacement is more common for industrial applications.
                                    Sometimes it is not necessary to specify the exact item selected, but only a property of the
                                 item. For example, suppose that there are 5 defective parts and 95 good parts in a batch. To
                                 study the quality of the batch, two are selected without replacement. Let g denote a good part
                                 and d denote a defective part. It might be sufficient to describe the sample space (ordered) in
                                 terms of quality of each part selected as


                                                              S   5gg, gd, dg, dd6
   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42