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PQ220 6234F.Ch 03  13/04/2002  03:19 PM  Page 74






               74     CHAPTER 3 DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES AND PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

                                 To complete a general probability formula, only an expression for the number of outcomes
                                 that contain x errors is needed. An outcome that contains x errors can be constructed by parti-
                                 tioning the four trials (letters) in the outcome into two groups. One group is of size x and
                                 contains the errors, and the other group is of size n   x and consists of the trials that are okay.
                                 The number of ways of partitioning four objects into two groups, one of which is of size x, is
                                  4        4!
                                 a b            . Therefore, in this example
                                  x    x!14   x2!

                                                                     4
                                                                            x
                                                          P1X   x2   a b 10.12 10.92 4 x
                                                                     x
                                               4
                                    Notice that a b   4!  32! 2!4   6 , as found above. The probability mass function of X
                                               2
                                 was shown in Example 3-4 and Fig. 3-1.

                                    The previous example motivates the following result.



                       Definition
                                    A random experiment consists of n Bernoulli trials such that
                                        (1)  The trials are independent
                                        (2) Each trial results in only two possible outcomes, labeled as “success’’ and
                                            “failure’’
                                        (3)  The probability of a success in each trial, denoted as p, remains constant

                                        The random variable X that equals the number of trials that result in a success
                                    has a binomial random variable with parameters 0   p   1  and n   1, 2, p.  The
                                    probability mass function of X is

                                                           n   x      n x
                                                    f 1x2   a b p 11   p2     x   0, 1, p , n       (3-7)
                                                           x




                                                       n
                                    As in Example 3-16, a b  equals the total number of different sequences of trials that
                                                       x
                                 contain x successes and n   x failures. The total number of different sequences that contain x
                                 successes and n   x failures times the probability of each sequence equals P1X   x2.
                                    The probability expression above is a very useful formula that can be applied in a num-
                                 ber of examples. The name of the distribution is obtained from the binomial expansion. For
                                 constants a and b, the binomial expansion is

                                                                      n  n
                                                                 n
                                                                             k n k
                                                           1a 	 b2    a  a b a b
                                                                     k 0 k
                                    Let p denote the probability of success on a single trial. Then, by using the binomial
                                 expansion with a   p and b   1   p, we see that the sum of the probabilities for a bino-
                                 mial random variable is 1. Furthermore, because each trial in the experiment is classified
                                 into two outcomes, {success, failure}, the distribution is called a “bi’’-nomial. A more
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