Page 104 - Applied statistics and probability for engineers
P. 104

82   Chapter 3/Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions


                                                      ⎛  n⎞
                                     As in Example 3-16,  ⎜ ⎟  equals the total number of different sequences of trials that con-
                                                       x⎠
                                                      ⎝
                                   tain x  successes and n −  x  failures. The total number of different sequences that contain x
                                                                                               (
                                   successes and n x−  failures times the probability of each sequence equals P X =  x).
                                     The preceding probability expression is a very useful formula that can be applied in a num-
                                   ber of examples. The name of the distribution is obtained from the binomial expansion. For
                                   constants a and b, the binomial expansion is
                                                                           n⎞
                                                                        n
                                                               ( a b) = ∑ ⎛ ⎜ ⎟   a b  −
                                                                     n
                                                                 +
                                                                               k n k
                                                                        k=0  k ⎝ ⎠
                                     Let p denote the probability of success on a single trial. Then by using the binomial expansion
                                   with a =  p and b = −1  p, we see that the sum of the probabilities for a binomial random variable

                                   is 1. Furthermore, because each trial in the experiment is classiied into two outcomes, {success,
                                   failure}, the distribution is called a “bi”-nomial. A more general distribution, which includes the
                                   binomial as a special case, is the multinomial distribution, and this is presented in Chapter 5.
                                     Examples of binomial distributions are shown in Fig. 3-8. For a i xed n, the distribution
                                   becomes more symmetric as p increases from 0 to 0.5 or decreases from 1 to 0.5. For a i xed
                                   p, the distribution becomes more symmetric as n increases.
               Example 3-17                                                              ⎛ n⎞
                               Binomial Coeffi cient  Several examples using the binomial coefi cient  ⎜ ⎟  follow.
                                                                                         ⎝
                                                                                          x⎠
                                          ⎛ 10⎞
                                          ⎜ ⎝  3 ⎠ ⎟  =  10! [ 3 7 ] =! !  ( 10 9 8) (⋅ ⋅  3 2 =)⋅  120
                                          ⎛ 15⎞
                                          ⎜ ⎝ 10⎠ ⎟  =  15 10 5 ] =!  [ ! !  ( 15 14 13 12 11) (⋅  ⋅  ⋅  ⋅  5 4 3 2)⋅ ⋅ ⋅

                                              =  3003
                                          ⎛ 100⎞                . . .      . .
                                          ⎜ ⎝  4 ⎠ ⎟  =  100! [ 4 96 ] =!  !  ( 100 99 98 97) ( 4 3 2)
                                               =  3 921 225
                                                     ,
                                                  ,
               Also recall that 0! 1= .

                                0.18                                     0.4
                                                                                             n  p
                                          n  p
                                         20   0.5                                            10   0.1
                                                                                             10   0.9
                                0.15
                                                                         0.3
                                0.12



                               f(x)  0.09                               f(x)  0.2

                                0.06
                                                                         0.1
                                0.03

               FIGURE 3-8
               Binomial distribu-  0                                       0
               tions for selected   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920  0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10
               values of n and p.                   x                                        x
                                                    (a)                                      (b)
   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109