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286    CHAPTER 14 Meaning Versus Information, Prediction Versus Memory




                         spike-timing-dependent plasticity can help explain more complex phenomena such
                         as orientation flash lag effect (see Ref. [5] and references within).
                            Second, we will consider predictive properties in brain dynamics and how it can
                         be related to higher level phenomena such as consciousness. As we discussed above,
                         prediction seems to be a key function of the brain. How can it also be used to gain
                         insights into phenomena such as consciousness? In consciousness studies, the neural
                         correlate is highly sought after, where neural correlates of consciousness refer to the
                         “. neural events and structures . sufficient for conscious percept or conscious
                         memory” [6]. This view is somewhat static (of course it depends on the definition
                         of “event”), and its dependence on sufficient condition can lead to issues relating
                         to the hard problem of consciousnessdhow and why it “feels” like it. In our
                         view, it would be better to first consider the necessary condition of consciousness,
                         and this led us to the realization that the property of brain dynamics, not just isolated
                         “events,” need to be considered. We also found that predictive property in brain dy-
                         namics has an important role to play in consciousness, and this is how the discussion
                         of consciousness comes into picture in this section [7].
                            Let us consider necessary conditions of consciousness. We begin by considering
                         consciousness and its subject. There cannot be a consciousness without a subject,
                         since consciousness, being a subjective phenomenon, cannot be subjective without
                         a subject. Next, consider the property of the subject (or let us say self). Self is the
                         author of its own actions, and there is a very peculiar property about these actions
                         authored by the selfdthat it is 100% predictable. When I say “I will clap my hands
                         in 5 seconds,” I will make sure that happens, so that my behavior in such a case is
                         100% predictable. This is quite unlike most phenomena in the world that is not so
                         much the case. In order to support such prediction, some part of the brain has to
                         have a dynamic pattern that has a predictable property. That is, based on past data
                         points in the neural dynamic trajectory, it needs to be possible to predict the current
                         data point. This, we believe, is an important necessary condition of consciousness
                         (see Ref. [7] for details). Through computational simulations and secondary analysis
                         of public EEG data, we showed that predictive dynamics can emerge and have
                         fitness advantage in synthetic evolution [7], and conscious states such as awake con-
                         dition and REM sleep condition exhibit more predictive dynamics than unconscious
                         states (slow-wave sleep) [8].
                            For the first study [7], we evolved simple recurrent neural network controllers to
                         tackle the 2D pole-balancing task, and found that successful individuals have a vary-
                         ing degree of predictability in their internal dynamics (how the hidden unit activities
                         change over time). This is discouraging, since if individuals with internal dynamics
                         with high or low predictability are equally good in behavioral performance, predic-
                         tive dynamics may not evolve to dominate. However, a slight change in the environ-
                         ment made individuals with high predictive dynamics to proliferate. The only
                         change necessary was to make the task a little harder (make the initial random tilt
                         of the pole to be more). This suggests that predictive internal dynamics has a fitness
                         value when the environment changes over time, and this happens to be how the
                         nature is, thus predictive dynamics will become dominant. Not the strongest or
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