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Key issue, challenges, and status quo of models for biofuel supply chain design  299


              provided information of biomass availabilities that were used as biomass
              resource constraints in optimization models (H€ohn et al., 2014; Parker
              et al., 2010).
                 A few studies used GIS alone as a decision supporting tool for the BSC
              design. Beccali et al. (2009) used GIS to identify the most exploitable
              biomass resources in Sicily by analyzing regional economic, agriculture,
              climate, and infrastructure data. Thomas et al. (2013) employed GIS to
              assess the spatial supply and demand balance in England at a national scale.


              4.2 Simulation-based BSC models
              SC simulation is a basic method for SC prediction, management, and
              improvement (Zhao et al., 2011). Simulation models can support BSC
              design by employing different performance indicators such as available
              regional forest fuel potential (NAP), GHG emissions, and SC energy con-
              sumption (Zhang et al., 2012; Gronalt and Rauch, 2007). Unlike optimi-
              zation that determines the optimal values of a set of decision variables,
              simulation is to model the presence of a system in order to predict the
              behavior of the system under a given set of conditions (Wurbs, 1993). In
              some cases, simulation can work as a means of BSC optimization by con-
              ducting a large number of BSC design scenarios (Agusdinata et al., 2014).
                 Compared to BSC optimization models, simulation models can provide
              a better understanding of the impacts of specific design parameters and strat-
              egies. For example, Gronalt and Rauch (2007) proposed a scenario evalu-
              ation model to study the regional forest BSC in Austria, where different
              scenario parameters such as varied transportation distances and varied
              demands were evaluated by simulating a number of system configurations.
              Zhang et al. (2012) established a simulation model of converting low-value
              pulpwood into biofuels and evaluated the impacts of spring break-up on
              delivered biomass cost, GHG emissions, and energy consumption. They also
              included other varied design parameters such as cost coefficients, energy
              coefficients (Btu/ton-mile), biofuel facility locations, and size options. By
              changing these parameters, a case study was conducted in the lower penin-
              sula of Michigan and showed that simulation model was useful in BSC man-
              agement, the selection of facility mode, logistic design, inventory
              management, and information exchange (Zhang et al., 2012). Sokhansanj
              et al. (2006) simulated the dynamic biomass logistics to predict the transpor-
              tation cost between operations such as collection, storage, and biorefinery to
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