Page 375 - Biofuels for a More Sustainable Future
P. 375

330   Biofuels for a More Sustainable Future




                Corn-based            Cassava-based          Wheat-based


          Fig. 11.3 The sustainability sequence of the three alternative pathways for bioethanol
          production.


             After solving programming (11.24), the matrix Z can be determined, as
          presented in Eq. (11.25).

                                                 12 3
                                   Wheat based 0 0 1
                                                                     (11.25)
                                   Corn based    1 0 0
                              Z ¼
                                  Cassava based 0 1 0
             According to the meaning of the elements in the final ranking matrix, the
          sustainable sequence of the three alternative pathways for bioethanol pro-
          duction can be determined, as shown in Fig. 11.3.


          4 Discussion

          The sustainability of the three alternative pathways for bioethanol produc-
          tion from the most sustainable to the least is corn-based, cassava-based, and
          wheat-based. It is worth pointing out that the ranking of these three alter-
          native pathways for bioethanol production was determined based on the
          opinions and preferences of the selected experts, and the results may change
          when the stakeholders/decision-makers have been changed. In order to
          investigate the influences of the weights of the criteria on the sustainability
          sequence of the three alternative pathways for bioethanol production, the
          following eleven cases were studied for sensitivity analysis by changing
          the weights of the nine criteria:
             Case 0: Equal weights—an equal weight (0.1111) was assigned to the
          nine criteria;
             Case 1–9: a dominant weight (0.3600) was assigned to one of the nine
          criteria, and an equal weight (0.0800) was assigned to all the other eight
          criteria.
             The results of sensitivity analysis are presented in Fig. 11.4. It is apparent
          that the sustainability sequence of these three alternative pathways for
          bioethanol production may change with the change of the weights of the
          criteria for sustainability assessment. In other words, the sustainability
          sequence of the three pathways for bioethanol production may change when
   370   371   372   373   374   375   376   377   378   379   380