Page 43 - Chemical process engineering design and economics
P. 43

Production and Capital Cost

            Estimation










            Before  initiating  the  development  of  a process,  at  various  stages  in  its  develop-
            ment,  and before  attempting the design of a process  and plant, process  engineers
            must make  economic evaluations. The evaluation determines whether they should
            undertake a project, abandon it, continue with it  (but  with further  research), or take
            it to the pilot plant stage. If  they decide to proceed with process development, an
            economic  evaluation  will pinpoint  those parts  of the process requiring  additional
            study. Winter  [1] has stated that the economic evaluation of a project  is a continu-
            ous procedure.  As  the process  engineer  gathers new  information,  he  can  make  a
            more accurate evaluation followed  by a reexamination of the project to determine
            if it should continue.
                 Even if insufficient  technical information is available to design a plant  com-
            pletely, we must still make an economical evaluation to determine if it is economi-
            cally  and  financially  feasible.  A project  is  economically  feasible  when  it  is more
            profitable  than  other  competing  projects,  and  financially  feasible  when  manage-
            ment can raise the capital for its implementation. Although calculations may show
            that  a  given project  could  be  extremely profitable,  the  capital  requirements  may
            strain the financial  capabilities of the organization. In this case, the project may be
            abandoned unless partners can be found to share the risk. The economic evaluation
            of a process proceeds in several steps [1]. These  are:

            1. preparing a process flow diagram
            2. calculating mass and energy flows
            3. sizing major  equipment
            4. estimating the capital cost

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