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DISCRETE STATE VARIABLES                                     121


                true license
                plate pixels:


               1
                posterior probability
              0.5
               0
                online estimated
                states:



                detected pixels:

            Figure 4.17  Online state estimation






















            Figure 4.18  Detected license plate pixels using online estimation

            measurements. Exactly these measurements can prevent the delay that
            inherently occurs in online estimation.
              The problem is formulated as follows. Given a sequence Z(I) ¼
            fz(0), .. . , z(I)g of I þ 1 measurements of a given HMM, determine the
            optimal estimate of the sequence x(0), ... , x(I) of the underlying states.
              Up to now, the adjective ‘optimal’ meant that we determined the
            individual posterior probability P(x(i)jmeasurements) for each time
            point individually, and that some cost function was applied to determine
            the estimate with the minimal risk. For instance, the adoption of a
            uniform cost function for each state leads to an estimate that maximizes
            the individual posterior probability. Such an estimate minimizes the
            probability of having an erroneous decision for such a state.
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