Page 228 - Earth's Climate Past and Future
P. 228

204     PART III • Orbital-Scale Climate Change


                        CO 2  (ppm   )     CH 4  (ppb  )    FIGURE 11-17 Changes in ice volume, CO , and methane
                                                                                             2
                       200    240    280  400   600
               0                                            during the last 150,000 years During the last full
                     Isotopic Stage 1                       interglacial-glacial oscillation, sawtooth-shaped changes in
                                                                             18
                                                            CO and ice volume (δ O) occurred at similar times.
                                                              2
                                                            (Adapted from W. F. Ruddiman,  “Ice-Driven CO Feedback on Ice
                         Stage 2                                                              2
                                                            Volume,” Climate of the Past 2 [2006]: 43–78.)
                                                            150,000 years is again the summer half-year insolation
                             3
           50,000                                           signal of Milankovitch. The direct ice response to this
                                                            forcing is the same as in the 41,000-year world, and the
          Years ago        Stage 4                          amplification of the 41,000-year ice volume response to
                                                            Milankovitch forcing by CO feedback is slightly (20%)
                                                                                    2
                                                            larger than the doubling that was assumed for the
                                    5.1
                                                            41,000-year glacial world (see Figure 11–8).
                                  5.2
                                                               The major difference from the 41,000-year world is
          100,000                  5.3                      that only about one-third of the new ice that accumu-
                                   5.4                      lated during ice growth episodes melted during the next
                                                            summer insolation maximum. As a result, the three
                                         5.5                41,000-year ice growth episodes combined to produce a
                                                            longer-wavelength ice volume signal.
                                                               Ice growth came to an end when summer insolation
                         Isotopic Stage 6
                                                            rose toward a relatively strong maximum by 11,000
          150,000
                      δ 18 O/Ice volume (          )        to 10,000 years ago (see Figure 11–15). Although ris-
                    Max                 Min                 ing insolation initiated the melting process, the reduc-
                                                            tion in ice volume allowed CO concentrations to rise,
                                                                                      2
        0.9 Myr ago, a reduction in ablation at high latitudes is  and positive feedback from the increasing CO levels
                                                                                                     2
        the probable reason for the survival of larger amounts of  kicked in as a powerful amplifier of ice melting. In
        ice (the “large glaciation” phase from Chapter 9).  effect, the same CO feedback that built the large ice
                                                                              2
           In a conceptual model of these processes         sheets was then readily available to help drive major
        (Figure 11–18), the insolation forcing for the last  deglaciations.

                  Precession           Tilt            Tilt plus precession
              0
                          Insolation              Insolation

                       Forced                     Forced            Forced
                       ice                      ice                 ice
                       response                                     response
                                              response
                               CO 2                    CO 2
                              feedback               feedback
         50,000

         Years ago


                                                                                              2
                                Full ice                Full ice               FIGURE 11-18 CO feedback The
                                                                               ice volume response at  100,000
                            response                response                                    ~
        100,000                                                                years may have resulted from
                                                                               CO feedback amplification of
                                                                                 2
                                                                               41,000-year ice growth episodes,
                                                                               followed by CO feedback
                                                                                          2
                                                                               amplification of rapid melting
                                                                               initiated by large peaks in 23,000-
                                                                               year insolation. (Adapted from W. F.
        150,000                                                                Ruddiman, “Ice-Driven CO Feedback
                                                                                                  2
                            Minimum           Insolation          Maximum      on Ice Volume,” Climate of the Past 2
                               Maximum       Ice volume      Minimum           [2006]: 43–78.)
   223   224   225   226   227   228   229   230   231   232   233