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Chap. 7'   Questions and Problems                              41 3
                                P7-8*  Consider the application of the PSSH to epidemiology. We  shall treat each of
                                       the following steps as elementary in that the rate will be proportional to the
                                       number  of  people  in  a particular  state of  health. A  healthy person,  H,  can
                                       become ill, I, spontaneously,
                                                                H   k')I                    (E'-8.1)
                                       or he may become ill through contact with another ill person:

                                                              I+"  ' 21                     (P7'-8.2)
                                                                        )
                                       The ill person may become healthy:
                                                                I   ">H                     (W-8.3)
                                       or he may expire:
                                                                I   k4>D                    (P7-8.4)
                                       The reaction  given in  Equation (P7-8.4) is  normally considered completely
                                       irreversible, although the reverse reaction has been reported to occur.
                                       (a)  Derive an equation for the death rate.
                                       (b)  At what concentration of healthy people does the death rate become crit-
                                           ical? [Ans.: When [HI  = (k3 + k4)/k2.]
                                       (c)  Comment on the validity of  the PSSH under the conditions of part (b).
                                       (d)  If  k, =   h-*, k2 = IO-'  (peopleah)-',  k3 = 5  X   h, k4 = lo-'
                                           h, and H, = lo9 people, plot H, I, and D versus time. Vary k, and describe
                                           what you find. Check with your local disease control center or search the
                                           WrW  to modify the model and/or substitute appropriate values of  k,.
                                P7-9c   (Postacidijication in yogurt) Yogurt is produced by adding two strains of bac-
                                       teria  (Lactobacillus  bulgaricus  and  Streptococcus thermophilus) to  pasteur-
                                       ized  milk.  At  temperatures of  llO"F, the  bacteria  grow  and  produce  lactic
                                       acid. The acid contributes flavor and causes the proteins to coagulate, giving
                                       the  characteristic properties  of  yogurt. When  sufficient  acid  has  been  pro-
                                       duced (about 0.90%), the yogurt is cooled and stored until eaten by consum-
                                       ers. A lactic acid level of  1.10% is the limit of acceptability. One limit 0111 the
                                       shelf life of  yogurt is "postacidification,"  or continued production of  acid by
                                       the yogurt cultures during storage. The table that follows shows acid produc-
                                       tion (% lactic acid) in yogurt versus time at four different temperatures.


                                             Time (days)   35°F      40°F      45°F       50°F
                                                 1         1.02       1.02      1.02      1.02
                                                14         1.03       1.05      1.14      1.19
                                                28         1.05       1.06      1.15      1.24
                    YO@d                        35         1.09       1.10      1.22      1.26
                                                42         1.09       1.12      1.22      1.31
                                                49         1.10       1.12      1.22      1.32
                Chemical Engineering            56         1.09       1.13      1.24      1.32
                in the Food Industry            63         1.10       1.14      1.25      1.32
                                             -  70         1.10       1.16      1.26      1.34

                                            Acid production by  yogurt cultures is a complex biochemical process.
                                        For  the  purpose  of  this  problem,  assume  that  acid  production  folllows
                                        first-order kinetics with respect to the consumption of  lactose in the yogurt to
                                        produce lactic acid. At the start of acid production the lactose concentration is
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