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                                                                                                Service Industries



                  Predicted fastest growing industries, 2002–2012  Export and import of goods and services, 1990–2003

                                                                           Goods      Goods    Service  Service
                                               2012                Year    exports   imports   exports  imports
                                      2002    Predicted  Percentage
                                    Employment  Employment  change  1990   $367.2     $469.7   $188.7   $142.7
                    Industry       (in thousands) (in thousands) 2002–2012  1995  $533.9  $697.6  $245.8  $152.1
                                                                   2000    $784.3    $1,243.5  $311.9   $232.3
                  Software Publishers  256.0   429.7   67.9%       2003    $721.7    $1,307.3  $309.9   $243.3
                  Management, scientific, and   731.8  1,137.4  55.4%
                  technical consulting services                    SOURCE: 2005 Economic Report of the President.
                  Community and residential  695.3  1,077.6  55.0%
                  care facilities for elderly
                                                                 Table 4
                  Computer Systems design  1,162.7  1,797.7  54.6%
                  Employment Services  3,248.8  5,012.3  54.3%
                  Individual, family, community,  1,269.3  1,866.6  47.1%
                  and vocational rehabilitation                     Based on the BLS data shown in Table 2, from 1992
                  facilities
                                                                 to 2012 the total level of employment in the United States
                  Ambulatory health care services  1,443.6  2,113.4  46.4%
                                                                 was forecasted to increase by approximately 42 million.
                  Water, sewage, and other systems  48.5  71.0  46.4%
                                                                 For the same period, the BLS estimated that service indus-
                  Internet Services   528.8    773.1   46.2%
                                                                 try employment would increase by 41.8 million. In other
                  Child Care Services  734.2  1,050.3  43.1%
                                                                 words, the service sector was forecasted to be responsible
                  SOURCE: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
                                                                 for 99.6 percent of all employment growth from 1992 to
                                                                 2012.
                Table 3                                             While the service industry overall is growing substan-
                                                                 tially, some areas are growing at faster paces than others
                                                                 because of changes in the economy or the country’s demo-
                percent and in 2003 it surpassed 58 percent. If this trend  graphics. Table 3 provides a listing of the ten industries
                were to continue, by 2010 more than $3 out of every $5  forecasted to have the fastest-growing employment from
                of final goods and services produced would stem from the  2002 to 2012.
                service industries.                                 The information sector of the service industry is the
                                                                 fastest-growing sector in the economy. Included within
                                                                 this sector is the software publishing industry that is antic-
                EMPLOYMENT IN SERVICE                            ipated to be the nation’s fastest-growing employer through
                INDUSTRIES
                                                                 2012. Also within this sector is the quickly growing Inter-
                The importance of the service industries can also be seen
                                                                 net services and data processing industry. The professional
                both in the level of employment within the industry and  and business services industry is another that is expected
                as a percentage of total employment. Total employment  to experience substantial gains in employment.  Within
                and service industry employment for 1992 and 2002 as  this industry, the employment services sector is experienc-
                well as the levels forecasted by the U.S. Department of  ing the greatest expansion as companies seek out ways to
                Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for 2012 are  reduce labor costs and provide greater flexibility in terms
                shown in Table 2.                                of staffing. The gradual but continued aging of the popu-
                   In 1992 more than 87 million people were employed  lation, together with medical advances that have extended
                within the service industry and by 2002 this number had  life expectancies, have resulted in the health services
                risen to nearly 109 million. By 2012 the BLS expected  industries also exhibiting large growth in employment.
                nearly 130 million persons would be employed in the
                service industry. More astonishing than the absolute num-  ROLE OF SERVICES IN TRADE
                ber of persons employed in the service industry is the large  A final point that raises the importance of the service
                and growing percentage of total employment emanating  industries within the United States can be found when
                from the service industry. In 1992 nearly 71 percent of all  looking at international trade data.  The United States
                employment was within the service industry. By 2002  maintains a very large balance of trade deficit due to the
                more than 75 percent of employment was within the serv-  importation of large amounts of goods relative to the
                ice sector. The BLS forecasted that this percentage would  amount of exportation of goods, as can be seen in Table 4.
                continue to grow, with more than 78 percent of all  The balance on services, however, shows a surplus, with
                employment within the service industry by 2012.  the United States exporting more services than it imports.


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