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                    448  Chapter 12  Urban Runoff and Combined Sewer Overflow Management
                                         The following decision analysis methods, which are listed in order from the most qualita-
                                         tive to the most quantitative, can be utilized:
                                             1. Holistic
                                             2. Cost/benefit ratios
                                             3. Matrix comparisons
                                             4. Decision factor analysis
                                             5. Optimization.

                                         Holistic. This approach is qualitative and relies on certain basic facts, intuition, and pro-
                                         fessional judgment. One key deciding factor (e.g., cost) can guide the process. Given the
                                         inherent complexity of assessing alternative urban runoff control plans and the large num-
                                         ber of available inputs to the decision, this approach is usually oversimplified. Selecting an
                                         appropriate plan from the developed alternatives will generally require an assessment of
                                         multiple factors and should be done in as quantitative a manner as is reasonably possible.

                                         Cost/Benefit Ratios.  The relative value of different alternatives can be measured using
                                         cost/benefit ratios, such as cost per pound of pollutant removed or cost per day of effect on
                                         resources. This approach can be used as a tool to determine which BMP should be used
                                         first. For example, if it is determined that reducing solids using source control measures
                                         costs less per pound than using a structural BMP, then source control measures should be
                                         utilized first. Since the unit cost of source control measures increases with the amount of
                                         solids eliminated, the cost per pound of solids removed increases with the number of
                                         pounds removed. The extent to which source control measures should be used for pollutant
                                         removal is then given by the point at which the marginal cost/benefit ratio (i.e., change in
                                         cost/change in benefit) becomes larger than that of another alternative.
                                             Another advantage of the cost/benefit ratio approach is that it allows use of the knee-
                                         of-the-curve methodology, which seeks to determine the point in the cost/benefit curve
                                         where the marginal cost to achieve a marginal benefit becomes significantly higher. This
                                         factor is measured by the marginal cost/benefit ratio defined above. Figure 12.22 shows an

                                                     Annual days of water quality violation
                                                                   vs.
                                                           design storm facilities
                                            120
                                            110  1 year
                                           Facilities cost (millions $) 100  90%  80%
                                             90
                                             80
                                             70
                                             60
                                             50
                                             40
                                             30
                                             20
                                                                    BMP
                                             10                                No action
                                                                                            Figure 12.22 Sample
                                                   10   20    30   40   50   60   70   80   Cost/Benefit Ratio Curve
                                                       Average number of days per year      (Source: U.S. Environmental
                                                      lake standards would be exceeded      Protection Agency)
   485   486   487   488   489   490   491   492   493   494   495