Page 39 - Foundations of Cognitive Psychology : Core Readings
P. 39

Can Machines Think?  37

               the Turing test that often leads to drastic overestimation of the powers of actu-
               ally existing computer systems. The follies of this familiar sort of thinking
               about computers can best be brought out by a reconsideration of the Turing test
               itself.
                 The insight underlying the Turing test is the same insight that inspires the
               new practice among symphony orchestras of conducting auditions with an
               opaque screen between the jury and the musician. What matters in a musician,
               obviously, is musical ability and only musical ability; such features as sex, hair
               length, skin color, and weight are strictly irrelevant. Since juries might be
               biased—even innocently and unawares—by these irrelevant features, they are
               carefully screened off so only the essential feature, musicianship, can be exam-
               ined. Turing recognized that people similarly might be biased in their judg-
               ments of intelligence by whether the contestant had soft skin, warm blood,
               facial features, hands and eyes—which are obviously not themselves essential
               components of intelligence—so he devised a screen that would let through only
               a sample of what really mattered:the capacity to understand, and think clev-
               erly about, challenging problems. Perhaps he was inspired by Descartes, who
               in his Discourse on Method (1637) plausibly argued that there was no more
               demanding test of human mentality than the capacity to hold an intelligent
               conversation:
                    It is indeed conceivable that a machine could be so made that it would
                    utter words, and even words appropriate to the presence of physical acts
                    or objects which cause some change in its organs; as, for example, if it was
                    touched in some spot that it would ask what you wanted to say to it; if in
                    another, that it would cry that it was hurt, and so on for similar things.
                    But it could never modify its phrases to reply to the sense of whatever
                    was said in its presence, as even the most stupid men can do.
               This seemed obvious to Descartes in the seventeenth century, but of course the
               fanciest machines he knew were elaborate clockwork figures, not electronic
               computers. Today it is far from obvious that such machines are impossible, but
               Descartes’s hunch that ordinary conversation would put as severe a strain on
               artificial intelligence as any other test was shared by Turing. Of course there is
               nothing sacred about the particular conversational game chosen by Turing for
               his test; it is just a cannily chosen test of more general intelligence. The as-
               sumption Turing was prepared to make was this:Nothing could possibly pass
               the Turing test by winning the imitation game without being able to perform
               indefinitely many other clearly intelligent actions. Let us call that assumption
               the quick-probe assumption. Turing realized, as anyone would, that there are
               hundreds and thousands of telling signs of intelligent thinking to be observed
               in our fellow creatures, and one could, if one wanted, compile a vast battery of
               different tests to assay the capacity for intelligent thought. But success on his
               chosen test, he thought, would be highly predictive of success on many other
               intuitively acceptable tests of intelligence. Remember, failure on the Turing test
               does not predict failure on those others, but success would surely predict suc-
               cess. His test was so severe, he thought, that nothing that could pass it fair and
               square would disappoint us in other quarters. Maybe it wouldn’t do everything
               we hoped—maybe it wouldn’t appreciate ballet, or understand quantum
   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43   44