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WHAT IS GEOMORPHOLOGY?         21


              chaotic nature of much landscape change (e.g. Phillips  provisionally until further field work was carried out,
              1999; Scheidegger 1994). Jonathan D. Phillips’s (1999,  that events occurring once or twice a year perform most
              139–46) investigation into the nature of Earth surface  geomorphicwork(WolmanandMiller1960).Somelater
              systems, which includes geomorphic systems, is par-  work has highlighted the geomorphic significance of rare
              ticularly revealing and will be discussed in the final  events. Large-scale anomalies in atmospheric circulation
              chapter.                                  systems very occasionally produce short-lived super-
                                                        floods that have long-term effects on landscapes (Baker
              Magnitude and frequency                   1977, 1983; Partridge and Baker 1987). Another study
                                                        revealed that low-frequency, high-magnitude events
              Interesting debates centre on the variations in process  greatly affect stream channels (Gupta 1983).
              ratesthroughtime.The‘tame’endofthisdebateconcerns  The ‘wilder’ end engages hot arguments over gradual-
              arguments over magnitude and frequency (Box 1.4), the  ism and catastrophism (Huggett 1989, 1997a, 2006).
              pertinent question here being which events perform  The crux of the gradualist–catastrophist debate is the
              the most geomorphic work: small and infrequent events,  seemingly innocuous question: have the present rates of
              medium and moderately frequent events, or big but rare  geomorphic processes remained much the same through-
              events? The first work on this issue concluded, albeit  out Earth surface history? Gradualists claim that process



                Box 1.4

                MAGNITUDE AND FREQUENCY

                As a rule of thumb, bigger floods, stronger winds,  where T is the recurrence interval, n is the number
                higher waves, and so forth occur less often than their  of years of record, and m is the magnitude of the
                smaller,weaker,andlowercounterparts.Indeed,graphs  flood (with m = 1 at the highest recorded discharge).
                showing the relationship between the frequency and  Each flood is then plotted against its recurrence inter-
                magnitude of many geomorphic processes are right-  val on Gumbel graph paper and the points connected
                skewed, which means that a lot of low-magnitude  to form a frequency curve. If a flood of a particu-
                events occur in comparison with the smaller number  lar magnitude has a recurrence interval of 10 years,
                of high-magnitude events, and a very few very high-  it would mean that there is a 1-in-10 (10 per cent)
                magnitude events. The frequency with which an event  chance that a flood of this magnitude (2,435 cumecs
                of a specific magnitude occurs is expressed as the return  in the Wabash River example shown in Figure 1.11)
                period or recurrence interval. The recurrence inter-  will occur in any year. It also means that, on average,
                val is calculated as the average length of time between  one such flood will occur every 10 years. The magni-
                events of a given magnitude. Take the case of river  tudes of 5-year, 10-year, 25-year, and 50-year floods
                floods. Observations may produce a dataset comprising  are helpful for engineering work, flood control, and
                the maximum discharge for each year over a period of  flood alleviation. The 2.33-year flood (Q 2.33 )isthe
                years.To compute the flood–frequency relationships,  mean annual flood (1,473 cumecs in the example),
                the peak discharges are listed according to magnitude,  the 2.0-year flood (Q 2.0 ) is the median annual flood
                with the highest discharge first.The recurrence interval  (not shown), and the 1.58-year flood (Q 1.58 )isthe
                is then calculated using the equation   most probable flood (1,133 cumecs in the example).
                    n + 1
                T =
                     m
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