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280                    Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers

           and
                                             ^
                                     lim varf gˆ 0;
                                     n!1
                    ^
           and hence    is consistent.
             Example 9.9. Problem: let us select the normal distribution as a model for the
           percentage yield discussed in Chapter 8; that is,

                                       "        2 #
                               1          …x   m†
                        2
                 f …x; m;  †ˆ       exp       2    ;   1 < x < 1:       …9:63†
                            …2 † 1=2        2
           Estimate parameters   1 ˆ m ,  and   2 ˆ   2 , based on the 200 sample values given
           in Table 8.1, page 249.
             Answer: following the method of moments, we need two moment equations,
           and the most convenient ones are obviously
                                        1 ˆ M 1 ˆ X;

           and
                                          2 ˆ M 2 :

           Now,
                                           1 ˆ   1 :

           Hence, the first of these moment equations gives
                                                n
                                             1  X
                                    ^
                                      1 ˆ X ˆ     X j :                 …9:64†
                                             n
                                               jˆ1
           The properties of this estimator have already been discussed in Example 9.2. It
           is unbiased and has minimum variance among all unbiased estimators for m.
           We see that the method of moments produces desirable results in this case.
             The second moment equation gives
                                                  n
                                      ^
                                                      2
                                 ^ 2
                                   ‡   2 ˆ M 2 ˆ  1  X X ;
                                  1                   j
                                                n
                                                  jˆ1
           or
                                                n
                                             1  X        2
                              ^
                                          2
                                2 ˆ M 2   M ˆ     …X j   X† :           …9:65†
                                          1
                                             n
                                               jˆ1
           This, as we have shown, is a biased estimator for   2 .


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