Page 442 - Fundamentals of Radar Signal Processing
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Probability of         The probability that a target is declared (i.e., H  is
                                                                                                    1
                     False Alarm, P : chosen) when a target is in fact not present.                      0
                                       FA The probability that a target is not declared (i.e., H  is
                     Probability of
                     Miss, P :              chosen) when a target is in fact present.
                               M
                     Note  that P   =  1  – P .  Thus, P   and P   suffice  to  specify  all  of  the
                                                 D
                                   M
                                                                        FA
                                                              D
               probabilities of interest. As the latter two definitions imply, it is important to
               realize that, because the problem is statistical, there will be a finite probability
               that the decisions will be wrong.      2

               6.1.1   The Neyman-Pearson Detection Rule

               The  next  step  in  making  a  decision  is  to  decide  what  the  rule  will  be  for
               deciding what constitutes an optimal choice between the two hypotheses. This is
               a rich field. The Bayes optimization criterion assigns a cost or risk to each of
               the  four  possible  combinations  of  actual  state  (target  present  or  not)  and
               decision (select H  or H ). In radar, it is more common to use a special case of
                                            1
                                     0
               the Bayes criterion called the Neyman-Pearson criterion. Under this criterion,
               the  decision  process  is  designed  to  maximize  the  probability  of  detection P         D
               under the constraint that the probability of false alarm P  does not exceed a set
                                                                                  FA
               value. The achievable combinations of P  and P  are affected by the quality of
                                                                         FA
                                                                D
               the radar system and signal processor design. However, it will be seen that for a
               fixed  system  design,  increasing P   implies  increasing P  as well. The radar
                                                        D
                                                                                    FA
               system designer will generally decide what rate of false alarms can be tolerated
               based on the implications of acting on a false alarm, which may include using

               radar resources to start a track on a nonexistent target, or in extreme cases even
               firing  a  weapon!  Recalling  that  the  radar  may  make  tens  or  hundreds  of
               thousands, even millions of detection decisions per second, values of P  must
                                                                                                      FA
                                                                                   –8
                                                                          –4
               generally be quite low. Values in the range of 10  to 10  are common, and yet
               may  still  lead  to  false  alarms  every  few  seconds.  Higher-level  logic
               implemented in downstream data processing, beyond the scope of this book, is
               often used to reduce the number or impact of false alarms.
                     Each vector of measured data values y can be considered to be a point in
               N-dimensional space. To have a complete decision rule, each point in that space
               (each possible combination of N measured data values) must be assigned to one
               of  the  two  allowed  decisions, H   or H .  Then,  when  the  radar  measures  a
                                                        0
                                                                 1
               particular  set  of  data  values  (“observation”) y,  the  system  declares  either
               “target absent” or “target present” based on the preexisting assignment of y to
               either H  or H . Denote the set of all observations y for which H  will be chosen
                                                                                           1
                                1
                         0
               as  the  region  .  Note  that    is  not  necessarily  a  connected  region.  General
                                 1
                                                  1
               expressions  can  now  be  written  for  the  probabilities  of  detection  and  false
               alarm as integrals of the joint PDFs over the region   in a N-dimensional space:
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