Page 23 - Geochemical Anomaly and Mineral Prospectivity Mapping in GIS
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18                                                              Chapter 1

             prospectivity modeling are therefore  necessary in order to  derive reliable mineral
             prospectivity maps, upon which mineral exploration decisions or plans can be based.


             PREDICTIVE MODELING WITH A GIS
                A GIS aims to provide pertinent and  reliable pieces  of  spatial geo-information to
             support decision-making in many fields of endeavour, including mineral exploration. At
             every scale, from region-scale to local-scale, of exploration target generation, GIS has
             become a decision-making tool since about the late 1980s (Bonham-Carter, 1994).  A
             major basis for a  ‘go’  or a  ‘no-go’  decision to  proceed into the  next higher scale  of
             exploration target generation or  phase of  mineral exploration is a set  of geochemical
             anomaly models or a mineral prospectivity model derived in the previous lower scale(s)
             of target generation. To derive and visualise such pieces of spatial geo-information, a
             GIS can  be  used for efficient capture,  storage, organisation,  query, manipulation,
             transformation, analysis and integration of substantial multi-source geoscience data sets
             collected in the different scales of exploration target generation. The tasks involved in
             modeling of geochemical  anomalies  and/or prospective  areas at any scale of target
             generation are therefore numerous, tedious and complex. A GIS does not reduce but
             facilitates those tasks to allow rapid yet efficient accomplishment of the pieces of spatial
             geo-information of interest. Of the different GIS functionalities mentioned, this volume
             is  mainly concerned with analysis and integration of data sets to derive and visualise
             predictive models of geochemical anomalies and prospective areas. Such functionalities
             are briefly discussed below and demonstrated further in the succeeding chapters.

             Data analysis
                Predictive modeling of geochemical anomalies and/or mineral prospectivity involves
             characterisations  of the statistical and spatial properties of  variables  and the spatial
             relationships among variables. Such operations are supported by query,  manipulation
             and transformation of certain data. In a GIS, these operations can be performed using
             data attribute tables or data attribute maps. On the one hand, data attribute tables are
             useful for summarising the statistical properties of univariate data and for characterising
             statistical relationships among univariate data sets. For example, a data attribute table
             would be useful in predictive modeling of significant geochemical anomalies via logistic
             regression by using binary (i.e., presence or absence of) mineral deposit occurrence as
             the target  variable and concentrations  of  various elements as predictor  variables. The
             predicted values of mineral deposit occurrence ranging from [0] to [1] represent multi-
             element geochemical anomalies, which can then be visualised  by creating the
             corresponding attribute  map. On the  other hand, data attribute maps are useful for
             characterising  the spatial properties of  univariate data and for characterising spatial
             relationships among univariate data sets. For example, an overlay or cross  operation
             using a map of classified interpolated point-data Cu values and a map of mineral deposit
             occurrences  would result in  a cross-table indicating  which class/classes of Cu  values
             represent significant geochemical anomalies (Fig. 1-5).
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