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3.8 Risks  155
                         components and resulting loss of parts in the borehole. Typical risks of downhole
                         failures are
                         • Breakage of drillstring components: A breakage of drillstring components (such
                           as DC, HWDP, DP, and mud motor) generally results in leaving all parts below
                           the broken part in the hole. Depending on the specific situation a fishing
                           operation with suitable special tools will be done in order to retrieve the lost
                           part (fish) as described previously. If these operations are not successful within
                           a certain time/certain attempts a plug-back and a sidetrack may be taken into
                           consideration.
                         • Failure or breaking of MWD system: If an MWD system fails normally it can be
                           retrieved and substituted by a backup tool so that there will be only some delay.
                           Only in very few situations a breakage occurs leading to fishing operation.
                         • Failure/loss of drill bit parts: A typical drill bit failure is the loss of a cone from
                           a tricone bit due to excessive wear in the bearing. In most of the cases the parts
                           which remained in the borehole can either be caught by special fishing tools
                           (e.g., junk basket) or by running a flat-bottom mill to the bottom of the hole and
                           destroy the junk by milling.

                         3.8.3
                         Geological–Technical Risks

                         Geological–technical risks cover drilling technical problems during operation that
                         are caused by reaction of the geological formation to applied drilling technology.
                         Such problems mostly arise from unexpected geomechanical behavior of known or
                         unknown formations or if drilling technology is insufficiently matched to known ge-
                         ological conditions (Figure 3.23). A modification of drilling parameters – especially
                         mud technology – will commonly solve geological–technical problems. Basically, a
                         rock mechanical understanding and geomechanical modeling will help to identify
                         risk zones and to quantify rock failure under certain circumstances. Hence, drilling
                         technical parameters like mud weight can precisely be specified by geomechanical
                         models minimizing wellbore stability problems.
                         • Borehole wall breakouts/cavings/washouts: Breakouts are generated by high
                           stress concentrations on the borehole wall, induced by too low mud pressures in
                           weak brittle rock.
                         • Squeezing or swelling formations: Squeezing and creeping formations are salt
                           rocks, creeping is increased by higher temperatures and thick overburden. From
                           the Northeast German Basin it is known that particularly salt rock below 2000 m
                           depth belong to risky zones in terms of casing failure. Swelling formations like
                           clay or subordinately shale can be controlled by higher mud weight and additives
                           like inhibitors which prevent clay minerals to assimilate water from drilling
                           mud. If the mud weight is not adapted to the presence of swelling formations, a
                           drillstring can be stuck within seconds.
                         • Circulation losses (e.g., in fractured or karstic rocks): Circulation losses are the
                           reduced or total absence of fluid flow up to the annulus when fluid is pumped
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